Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) --- A small system moving through the Corn Belt this week along with a La Nina type pattern in South America are the weather factors holding the market's attention Tuesday.

SCATTERED MIDWEST SHOWERS

A system will bring scattered showers to the Midwest Wednesday and Thursday and temperatures will fall below normal behind the system. Showers could produce some further delays in a few spots. Additional showers will be possible over southern areas this weekend into early next week, and again, with a system passing through in the middle of next week.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

Dry weather occurred in the Southern Plains since the weekend, as well as frosty temperatures across Nebraska and western Kansas into the Texas Panhandle. A system will bring some scattered showers to northern areas Tuesday and Wednesday, and some snow to western Nebraska as well. Temperatures will be below normal for a few days after the system passes through but go on a warming trend this weekend into next week. Drier weather is somewhat concerning for winter wheat establishment, especially if showers do not occur with a system next week.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

A system will bring some scattered showers mostly to South Dakota on Tuesday and Wednesday with some snow over western areas again. There may be some continued delays for harvest out of these showers, but nothing overly concerning. Temperatures will go below normal for a couple of days after this system passes through but go above normal again this weekend into next week.

MOSTLY DRY IN THE DELTA

A front brought scattered showers to the Delta on Friday, enough to benefit winter wheat establishment, but not enough to affect harvest too much. A system will pass by to the north later this week and the region should remain mostly dry, though temperatures will fall below normal for a few days following it. Some scattered showers may fall over northern areas late this weekend or early next week, which could cause some harvest delays, but benefit winter wheat establishment.

SOUTHEAST SHOWERS RETURNING LATER THIS WEEK

Dry weather continues in the Southeast through the middle of the week, benefiting harvest. A front will come through with scattered showers that could produce some delays late in the week.

BLACK SEA NEEDS MORE RAIN

Some isolated showers moved through the Black Sea region since the weekend which continues through the week, but more spots will be dry than get a shower this week. A front will move through with more scattered showers this weekend before temperatures fall below normal and some frosts develop. Dryness continues to be a concern for winter wheat establishment before colder temperatures settle in for the year and wheat goes dormant.

CENTRAL BRAZIL RAINS CONTINUING

Scattered showers are clearing out of southern Brazil. Scattered showers will continue in central areas for the next week, benefiting corn and soybean planting and development. Dryness over the south is not concerning for corn or soybeans and should benefit winter wheat harvest. A front will bring more showers to southern areas this weekend.

ONLY BRIEF SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA

Dryness continues in Argentina through the middle of the week, unfavorable for all crops. A front will move through late in the week with some scattered showers, but coverage does not look to be very widespread at this time and dryness looks to follow again.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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