Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A strong storm system with far-reaching impacts to the United States and rainfall patterns in South America are the weather factors holding the market's attention Wednesday.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR MIDWEST

A strong system is bringing rain to the western Midwest Wednesday and will weaken as a front moves toward the Ohio River on Thursday and stalls. A system will move along the front Friday and Saturday, sweeping the front out of the region. There is potential for localized heavy rain, delaying harvest progress. Drier weather will follow behind this system going into next week, which will help to dry soils, though temperatures will be closer to normal.

FLOODING POTENTIAL FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

A cold front moving across the region is producing widespread showers. The front will get stuck across southeastern areas for a bit before getting pushed eastward on Friday. Moderate to heavy rain and severe weather will hinder harvest progress while the rainfall would be good for winter wheat outside of any potential flooding.

HEAVY PRECIPITATION AND WINDY FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

A strong system is bringing widespread moderate to heavy rainfall across the Dakotas with snow in eastern Montana and Wyoming and the far western Dakotas as well through early Thursday. Strong winds will also be a hazard with this system on Wednesday. Lower temperatures will only stick around for a couple of days before warmer conditions come back into the region during the weekend.

A FEW DELTA SHOWERS

A front will bring showers to the Delta on Friday. Rain may delay harvest for cotton and soybeans but provide good moisture for winter wheat establishment. Otherwise, conditions are mostly favorable for harvest and winter wheat establishment.

SOUTHEAST STAYING DRY

Dry weather continues in the Southeast for the next few days, favoring drying soils and harvest. Some showers will move through with a front this weekend, but the favorable conditions will continue.

WESTERN BLACK SEA SHOWERS

A system is moving through Ukraine and northwestern Russia with scattered showers Wednesday, but southwestern Russia does not have a good chance for showers where it is needed more. Time is running out before lower temperatures settle in for the year and wheat goes dormant.

GOOD RAINFALL FOR BRAZIL

Scattered showers continue for the next week over central Brazil and over southern Brazil through early next week, overall good for full-season corn and soybean planting and establishment. Some drier weather would actually be favorable for maturing and harvest of winter wheat, which look to come next week.

ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS IN ARGENTINA

Significant dry spots remain in Argentina that could use more moisture for corn and soybean planting. Winter wheat areas are still doing alright, but with soil moisture drying up, more moisture is needed overall across the country. A system will quickly move through the country with scattered showers Wednesday and Thursday, while another follows Thursday into Friday. The rainfall is unlikely to be enough and more will be needed. But drier weather looks to take hold during the weekend and continue into next week.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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