Commodities Market Impact Weather

Eastern Showers Continuing

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Showers along and east of the Mississippi River, and the generally favorable planting conditions in Brazil are the weather factors holding the market's attention Tuesday.

SCATTERED SHOWERS IN MIDWEST

Scattered showers moved through the Midwest during the weekend and may have caused some delays to the ongoing corn and soybean harvest, but provided good moisture for some of the winter wheat areas. Showers will return across most areas again later this week. A series of systems will move through this weekend into early next week that will bring more scattered showers to the region. Soil moisture should increase for winter wheat.

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers that moved through the Southern Plains last week and weekend have been beneficial for winter wheat but caused some delays to harvest. Dryness and above-normal temperatures this week will benefit harvest while drier winter wheat areas will suffer that did not receive showers last week. A series of systems will move through this weekend into next week and should bring more scattered showers to the region, which would benefit winter wheat again.

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

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Dryness and good harvest conditions have returned to the Northern Plains for the next couple of days. A series of systems looks to move through late this week into next week, which will bring chances for scattered showers back into the region.

ISOLATED SHOWERS IMPACTING DELTA HARVEST

Scattered showers moved through the Delta during the weekend causing some delays to the cotton and soybean harvest, but favoring winter wheat planting and establishment. Some showers will remain in the region through Thursday, especially over the north, before it turns dry for the weekend and into next week.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR SOUTHEAST DISRUPTING COTTON HARVEST

Scattered showers in the Southeast continue through much of the week, causing some harvest delays and quality issues for cotton, especially in Alabama.

COOL AND DRY IN THE BLACK SEA

Mostly dry conditions were noted in Ukraine and western Russia during the weekend, along with below-normal temperatures. Conditions favored harvest over winter wheat establishment and dry conditions through the week will continue to stress drier areas.

MOSTLY FAVORABLE PLANTING CONDITONS FOR BRAZIL

Scattered, heavier showers fell over southern Brazil while isolated, lighter showers fell across central areas this weekend. Showers may increase during the next couple of days in central areas as a front moves into the region. Another system or two will develop over southern areas through the weekend with heavier showers continuing. Isolated showers should continue over central areas during the next week, regardless of fronts moving through. Conditions are mostly favorable as planting full-season corn and soybeans continues to increase, especially over southern areas. Reproductive to filling winter wheat continues to have mostly favorable conditions as well.

DRIER CONDITIONS FOR ARGENTINA

Scattered showers moved through Argentina during the weekend, but amounts were light where they were needed most in the west. Relatively dry conditions are expected for the week, which will keep corn and soybean planting slow. Winter wheat areas continue to have mostly favorable conditions, however.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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John Baranick