Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Showers east of the Mississippi River, and the generally favorable planting conditions in Brazil are the weather factors holding the market's attention Monday.

SCATTERED SHOWERS IN EASTERN MIDWEST

Scattered showers moved through the Midwest during the weekend and may have caused some delays to the ongoing corn and soybean harvest, but provided good moisture for some of the winter wheat areas. Showers will continue over eastern areas on Monday but will sag south a couple of days before returning north across eastern areas again later this week. A series of systems will move through this weekend into early next week that will bring more scattered showers to the region. Western areas will have relatively favorable harvest conditions until this weekend, while eastern areas will have to dodge showers. Soil moisture should increase for winter wheat.

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers that moved through the Southern Plains last week and weekend have been beneficial for winter wheat but caused some delays to harvest. Dryness and above-normal temperatures this week will benefit harvest while drier winter wheat areas will suffer that did not receive showers last week. A series of systems will move through this weekend into next week and should bring more scattered showers to the region, which would benefit winter wheat again.

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Showers that moved through the Northern Plains last week may have caused some harvest delays, but dryness and good harvest conditions have returned to the region. A series of systems looks to move through late this week into next week, which will bring chances for scattered showers back into the region.

ISOLATED SHOWERS IMPACTING DELTA HARVEST

Scattered showers moved through the Delta during the weekend causing some delays to the cotton and soybean harvest, but favoring winter wheat planting and establishment. Some showers will remain in the region through the week, especially over the north before it turns dry for the weekend and into next week.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR SOUTHEAST DISRUPTING COTTON HARVEST

Scattered showers started to move into the Southeast during the weekend and will continue through much of the week, causing some harvest delays and quality issues, especially in Alabama.

COOL AND DRY IN THE BLACK SEA

Mostly dry conditions were noted in the Black Sea region during the weekend, along with below-normal temperatures. Conditions favored harvest over winter wheat establishment, and dry conditions through the week will continue to stress drier areas.

MOSTLY FAVORABLE PLANTING CONDITONS FOR BRAZIL

Scattered, heavier showers fell over southern Brazil while isolated, lighter showers fell across central states this weekend. Showers may increase over the next two days in central states as a front moves into the region. Another system or two will develop over southern states through the weekend with heavier showers continuing. Isolated showers should continue over central areas through the weekend as well. Conditions are mostly favorable as planting full-season corn and soybeans continues to increase, especially over southern areas. Reproductive to filling winter wheat continues to have mostly favorable conditions as well.

DRIER CONDITIONS FOR ARGENTINA

Scattered showers moved through Argentina during the weekend, but amounts were light where they were needed most in the west. Relatively dry conditions are expected for the week, which will keep corn and soybean planting slow. Winter wheat areas continue to have mostly favorable conditions, however.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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