Commodities Market Impact Weather

Showers in Plains Spreading East

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Developing showers in the Plains and eventually the Corn Belt along with mostly beneficial weather conditions in South America are the weather factors holding the market's attention Wednesday.

HOT MIDWEST TURNING SHOWERY

Dry and hot conditions in the Midwest over the last few days are helping soils that got soggy last week to dry out, promoting harvest. Showers will move into western areas Thursday and Friday, then through the rest of the region this weekend. Models are not consistent on how long to keep showers in the region and amounts could pile up in some areas. This could hinder harvest progress but keep soil moisture favorable for winter wheat.

DAILY SCATTERED SHOWERS IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers moving into the Southern Plains will likely continue through the weekend, causing some harvest delays but benefiting soil moisture for winter wheat planting and establishment. Temperatures will remain elevated when showers do not occur, however, and areas that are missed or see little rainfall will see continued stressful conditions.

SCATTERED SHOWERS IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Dry and warm conditions in the Northern Plains over the last several days were excellent for harvest progress but worsened the drought. A system will bring showers to the region through at least Thursday and possibly across eastern areas Friday with some drier conditions likely again for the weekend into next week. Temperatures will remain above normal, continuing to provide good harvest conditions after the brief delays.

ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS HINDERING DELTA HARVEST

Dry and hot conditions have been noted in the Delta since the weekend, benefiting harvest of cotton and soybeans. Some pop-up showers may develop over the next week that could hinder harvest progress but would benefit winter wheat should it occur.

BENEFICIAL SOUTHEAST HARVEST WEATHER

Warm and dry conditions in the Southeast are promoting maturing cotton and continued harvest progress. For the most part, these conditions should continue through at least the coming weekend.

COOLER, DRIER IN THE BLACK SEA

Scattered showers moved through over the weekend, benefiting winter wheat development, but holding back progress on corn and sunflower harvest. A large blocking high pressure system will keep the region cool and dry into next week with mostly favorable conditions overall.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS FOR BRAZIL

Scattered showers continue over central Brazil while showers are developing over the south with a couple of systems moving through. The active weather is promoting soybean and full-season corn planting, along with reproductive to filling wheat.

SCATTERED SHOWERS IN ARGENTINA

Scattered showers moved through Argentina early this week and more showers are expected with another couple of systems moving through Thursday through the weekend. Showers are scattered and some areas are being missed, but the active pattern continues to favor corn and soybean planting overall, along with reproductive to filling wheat.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick