Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A storm bringing pockets of moderate to heavy rainfall over eastern production areas and the potential start of central Brazil's wet season are the weather factors holding the market's attention Tuesday.

BRIEF HARVEST DELAYS FOR MIDWEST

A system is bringing rounds of showers through most of the Midwest through Wednesday with some showers potentially hanging on over eastern areas Thursday. There could be some spotty showers this weekend as well. Soil moisture had been declining for winter wheat but showers this week should help sustain good soil moisture for establishment. Most of the region will see a drying and warming trend starting this weekend; eastern areas may find some isolated showers next week.

DRY FOR THE SOUTHERN PLAINS

A front brought some showers to the Southern Plains and will continue Tuesday before going on a drier trend to end September. This should allow for some better conditions for harvest. Soil moisture continues to be relatively low for much of the region and showers are needed for emerging winter wheat; but temperatures going above normal will likely stress young plants.

DRIER IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers moved through the Northern Plains over the last couple of days, but the region will be on a drier trend for the next week. Temperatures will be somewhat variable this week, but trend above normal next week to help with the drying process and help producers get out to harvest more. The drought will continue, however.

DELTA SHOWERS ENDING WEDNESDAY

Isolated to scattered showers in the Delta will end Tuesday night. Showers have delayed maturing and harvest of cotton and soybeans but favored winter wheat planting and establishment. Starting Wednesday, the region turns drier to finish out September with better conditions for harvest.

SOUTHEAST RAINS ENDING WEDNESDAY

Scattered moderate to heavy showers in the Southeast continue through Wednesday, causing some quality issues and delays to cotton harvest. After Wednesday, drier conditions will then aid in maturing crops and harvest.

COOL, SHOWERY IN THE BLACK SEA

Scattered showers will continue in the Black Sea region through the week as a trough will continue to spin for the next few days and another comes in for the weekend. This will cause some delays for harvest of corn and sunflowers but will have a positive impact on soil moisture for winter wheat planting and establishment. More showers are needed in Russia, however.

SHOWERS FORECAST FOR CENTRAL BRAZIL

Southern Brazil continued to see showers over the weekend, benefiting winter wheat and corn and soybean planting and establishment. Central states are still awaiting the start of the wet season. A weak front that moves north could produce some beneficial showers for central states this weekend, but the daily rains of the wet season appear to be delayed by at least another week.

MORE RAIN NEEDED IN ARGENTINA

Some scattered showers moved through Argentina on Sunday and Monday but the country looks to go drier again for the rest of the week. Wheat has received beneficial rainfall lately, but more is needed for corn and soybean planting and establishment. Another system may bring showers next week.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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