Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Rainfall expected to move into the Western Corn Belt and the continued heat and dryness in key areas of southwest Russia are the weather factors holding the market's attention Tuesday.

ISOLATED SHOWERS IN EASTERN MIDWEST

Some showers will drift northward over the eastern Midwest during the next couple of days while the west stays dry. Models disagree with a system that will come through this weekend, but should bring some widespread rainfall to the region. Another two systems will follow behind it going through next week. Any rainfall will benefit filling corn and soybeans, especially across the drier northwestern areas.

CONTINUED SHOWERS IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers fell across Oklahoma and Texas this weekend, with isolated showers in central Kansas and Nebraska. This will be the general pattern during the next couple of days until a frontal boundary sweeps through the region late in the week with more scattered showers across the north. The region may even stay active into next week with a couple of systems moving across the north as well. Any rainfall would be good for filling corn and soybeans.

SHOWERS COMING FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

A system will begin to affect the Northern Plains on Tuesday. This system may not have much precipitation with it for the first couple of days as it organizes in the Rockies, but should bring scattered showers across the region on Thursday and Friday. Until that moves through, temperatures will be quite high. Models disagree with the system and there is a lot of uncertainty regarding where and how much precipitation will fall, but any rainfall would be good for filling corn and soybeans. There will be two more systems that follow closely behind it through early next week to provide more rainfall as well.

SCATTERED DELTA SHOWERS

Scattered showers moved through the Delta during the weekend, but did not hit every area. Some dry spots have popped up recently and could use more moisture. Isolated to scattered showers will continue to be possible for the next week, however, and should help those drier areas for filling cotton and soybeans.

HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES FOR SOUTHEAST

Tropical Storm Fred came ashore last night and is spreading heavy rainfall through eastern Alabama, Georgia, and the western Carolinas into the middle of the week. Some flooding damage will be possible. Scattered showers will continue after the storm leaves through the weekend.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR CANADIAN PRAIRIES

Hot and dry weather continued in the Canadian Prairies this weekend, stressing any remaining immature crops. A system slowly moving through this week will bring pulses of scattered showers. It will likely not have any noticeable impact on wheat and canola, but could improve conditions for corn and soybeans in the east. The rains will disrupt harvest conditions, however.

HEAT CONTINUES FOR EASTERN BLACK SEA

A deteriorating upper-level low still brought some good rainfall to far eastern Ukraine and far western Russia over the weekend. It missed the Volga Valley, which has been hot and dry for the last few weeks. The majority of the region will have to wait until a front moves through Ukraine mid-to-late week, but will probably miss much of Russia again. Temperatures will continue to be hot in western Russia through the week as wheat and corn conditions decline in the region.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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