Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Periods of showers that continue across northern crop areas for the next week and improvement for winter corn in southern Brazil are the focus for the commodity market's attention on Friday.

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF MIDWEST RAIN

Scattered showers will continue across the western Midwest for the next several days but will have a harder time making it farther east until a front drops south into the region Sunday or Monday. This has allowed planting to pick up in the eastern states where it had been farther behind. Periods of showers will continue next week, increasing soil moisture and reducing dryness and drought for many areas. Above normal temperatures are expected through at least the weekend and likely next week as well, benefiting developing corn and soybeans.

SCATTERED SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

The Southern Plains will continue to see widespread showers through Sunday with isolated showers continuing next week. All developing crops should benefit from the increasing moisture. Temperatures could stand to be a bit higher for maximum benefit, but reduction of drought is likely.

MODERATE TO HEAVY NORTHERN PLAINS PRECIPITATION

In the Northern Plains, a strong upper-level trough in the western U.S. will send several pieces of energy through the region over the next 10 days with moderate to heavy showers. This should help ease drought conditions, benefiting developing crops and increasing soil moisture. Temperatures will go below normal for several days, especially across Montana. Accumulating snow continues across western Montana on Friday as well.

DRY WEEK FOR DELTA

Recent showers in the Delta have been beneficial for soil moisture but dryness will be in place for the next week or so. Temperatures above normal will benefit developing soybeans and cotton and should help with remaining planting. Soil moisture is adequate to surplus across the region and the dryness should not have a large impact unless the showers do not return by the end of next week.

SOUTHEAST REMAINS DRY

Soil moisture in the U.S. Southeast is adequate to surplus, but dryness that occurred this week will continue through next week. Temperatures will remain above normal for the next 7 to 10 days, favoring additional planting and early growth. The dryness should not have a large impact unless the showers do not return by the end of next week.

WIDESPREAD PRAIRIES PRECIPITATION

A system in the western U.S. will continue to bring colder temperatures to the Canadian Prairies through the weekend and much of next week, but will also bring chances for more widespread showers, including some accumulating snow on Friday. This brings mixed conditions for planting and germinating crops, but the moisture will be very welcome.

SOUTHERN BRAZIL RAIN

Poor conditions continue for developing to reproductive corn in central Brazil. A front will move into southern areas Friday with some decent showers for southern Brazil through the coming weekend. As the front works northward, the chances for rainfall will diminish, even if the front stalls in the area. Corn that is wilting in central Brazil will not get much of a reprieve. Another front may come to southern areas late next week but is unlikely to reach northward into central areas.

RAIN EXITING ARGENTINA

A system will continue to produce widespread showers in Argentina Friday and Saturday before becoming drier again. Soil moisture is favorable for developing winter wheat. After showers leave, conditions will again favor corn and soybean harvest.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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