Commodities Market Impact Weather

Northern Moisture Begins

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- The beginning of needed precipitation in northern crop areas and marginal improvement in the Brazil winter corn outlook are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Thursday.

RAIN TO CROSS MIDWEST

The DTN Ag Weather forecast calls for continued showers in the western Midwest for the next several days. Eastern Midwest areas stay dry until late in the weekend. This may allow planting to pick up in the eastern states where it is farther behind. Periods of showers will continue next week, increasing soil moisture for most areas and reducing dryness and drought for many areas. Above normal temperatures are expected through at least the weekend and likely next week as well, benefiting developing corn and soybeans.

MORE SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

The Southern Plains has consistent widespread showers continue through Sunday with isolated showers continuing next week. All developing crops will benefit from the increasing moisture. Temperatures could stand to be a bit higher for maximum benefit, but reduction of drought is likely.

BENEFICIAL NORTHERN PLAINS PRECIPITATION

In the Northern Plains, a strong upper-level trough moving into the western U.S. will send several pieces of energy through the region over the next 10 days with moderate to heavy showers. This should help ease drought conditions, benefiting developing crops and increasing soil moisture.

Temperatures will go below normal for several days, especially across Montana. There is a risk for accumulating snow across western Montana through Friday as well.

LIGHT DELTA MOISTURE

The Delta has scattered showers in store Thursday, followed by a drier pattern. Temperatures should rise near to above normal, benefiting developing soybeans and cotton and dryness should help with remaining planting. Soil moisture is adequate to surplus across the region and the dryness should not have a large impact unless the showers do not return by the end of next week.

DRY SOUTHEAST TREND

The U.S. Southeast has adequate to surplus soil moisture after recent rains. The next week will be mainly dry. Temperatures will rise above normal for the next 7-10 days, favoring additional planting and early growth. The dryness should not have a large impact unless the showers do not return by the end of next week.

MOISTURE FOR PRAIRIES

A system in the western U.S. will bring some cooler temperatures to the Canadian Prairies through the weekend and much of next week, but will also bring chances for more widespread showers, including some accumulating snow. This brings mixed conditions for planting and germinating crops, but the moisture will be very welcome.

LIMITED BRAZIL SHOWER ACTIVITY

Poor conditions continue for developing to reproductive corn in central Brazil. A front will move into southern areas Friday with some decent showers for southern areas. As the front works northward, the chances for rainfall will diminish, even if the front stalls in the area. Another front may come to southern areas late next week.

MIXED ARGENTINA RAIN PATTERN

Central Argentina has widespread showers in the forecast through Friday before becoming drier again. Soil moisture is favorable for developing winter wheat. After showers leave, conditions will again favor corn and soybean harvest.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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