Commodities Market Impact Weather

Dryness Concerns Return

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A return of dryness concerns to some key U.S. production areas and ongoing damaging drought in Brazil are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Tuesday.

MIDWEST DRY CONCERNS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for dryness concern to remain prominent in the northern and northwestern Midwest. This large-producing sector received little to no precipitation from the Mother's Day weekend rainfall event. Most areas will be dry through at least Thursday. Temperatures below normal will continue to delay emergence and early crop growth for much of the week, including a couple of frosty mornings. Temperatures will rise late this week and weekend, helping to accelerate germination and early growth.

There will be better chances for more widespread showers Friday through next week.

SOUTHERN PLAINS SHOWERS

Southern Plains crop areas have continued showers Tuesday. This is favorable for soil moisture benefit for wheat and emerging corn and soybeans. Temperatures will remain below normal for the next few days before rising late this week and weekend. Slow growth thus far should accelerate a bit as temperatures rise.

DRIER IN NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, dry conditions are in store through Friday. Several upper-air disturbances may produce widespread showers across the region Friday through next week, which would boost soil moisture for most areas. Low temperatures and patchy frosts early this week will rise late in the week, helping germination and early growth.

RAIN FOR DELTA

The Delta will have several occurrences of moderate to heavy rain through midweek. The moisture will benefit early crop growth along with bringing some threat of flooding. Temperatures running mainly below normal will slow down the rate of crop development.

SOUTHEAST RAIN

The southeastern U.S. has periods of rain in the forecast through the coming week. This will favor crop moisture. Some locally heavy amounts may produce flooding in locales near the Gulf Coast.

DROUGHT GRIPS PRAIRIES

In the Canadian Prairies, dryness and drought are in effect across almost all crop production areas. This includes Extreme Drought on the Canadian Drought Monitor in southern Saskatchewan and southern Manitoba. The next week brings generally cool and dry conditions, unfavorable for crop development.

ONGOING BRAZIL DROUGHT

In central Brazil, continued hot and dry conditions are on tap for central crop areas. Prospects for the second-crop corn (safrinha) continue to be reduced in public and private estimates.

DRY IN ARGENTINA

Argentina has no more than light rain in store through the next seven days. This lighter precipitation will favor row crop harvest.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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