Commodities Market Impact Weather

Dry Brazil Extended Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Dry conditions in the Brazil two-week forecast and prospects for frequent showers in the Midwest are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Wednesday.

FREQUENT MIDWEST SHOWERS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for frequent periods of showers in the Midwest. Slow-moving storm systems during the next seven days will establish the environment for the rainfall. This should help increase soil moisture for some of those drier sections of the region.

SOUTHERN PLAINS COOLDOWN

The Southern Plains will have light to locally moderate showers through the balance of the week. Disruption to row crop fieldwork will be brief. Southwestern areas have notably lighter precipitation. A much cooler pattern is in store during the five- to 10-day period. This will slow down the growth rate of winter wheat.

CONTINUED NORTHERN PLAINS DROUGHT

Hardest-hit drought areas of the Northern Plains continued to be bypassed by rainmaking weather systems. Spring wheat and pastures have lower production prospects because of this dryness. Moderate showers indicated for South Dakota and eastern North Dakota are providing improved soil moisture ahead of row crop planting.

DELTA RAIN WATCH

Across the Delta, two robust storm systems will move through the region during the next seven days, with periods of moderate to heavy showers. This will likely delay planting.

DRY BRAZIL EXTENDED FORECAST

Brazil has a mixed rain pattern in store. The short-term period features moderate rain totals for central crop areas. Only light amounts are expected elsewhere. The 10-day time frame has widespread below-normal amounts along with above- to much-above-normal temperature values. This hotter and drier pattern poses a stressful scenario for growing and developing second-crop (safrinha) corn.

WET ARGENTINA FORECAST

Moderate to heavy rain is in store for much of central Argentina through the balance of the week. This would be untimely for maturing crops and could cause quality issues along with harvest disruption.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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