Commodities Market Impact Weather

Ongoing Brazil Dryness

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Additional dryness in the forecast for Brazil and a favorable period for Midwest row crop fieldwork are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Monday.

DRIER MIDWEST FORECAST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a drier trend in the Midwest during the next week. This follows a period of widespread rainfall which boosted soil moisture across the region. The drier period will be favorable for field drying and fieldwork progress.

MORE SOUTHERN PLAINS SHOWERS

The Southern Plains received scattered showers during the past weekend. Recent precipitation has eliminated or eased drought for much of the region. However, strong warm winds across the region will cause rapid drying of soils during early week. Winter wheat that has broken dormancy finds generally favorable conditions. The forecast is mainly dry for the next week.

ONGOING NORTHERN PLAINS DROUGHT

In the Northern Plains, weekend precipitation was light and widely scattered. The week ahead features mainly dry conditions and above-normal temperatures. Drought continues to intensify in all but the southeastern portion of the region.

DELTA SHOWERS

The Delta had showers during the past weekend. Additional showers are in store during midweek. Soils are wet from heavy rain during the past two weeks. A period of drier conditions later in the week will favor field drying and fieldwork progress.

LIMITED CENTRAL BRAZIL

Brazil had moderate to heavy showers fell over the south while it remained mostly dry in the central and north this weekend. This will help immature corn and soybeans in the south but second-crop (safrinha) corn will see unwelcome dryness and cause concern as we get closer to the start of the dry season.

Showers may resume later this week and weekend, but models suggest that overall dryness could last through April, being a large concern for safrinha corn.

DRIER ARGENTINA FORECAST

Argentina crop areas had periods of rain with variable amounts during the past weekend. Rainfall favored late-filling row crops while disrupting early harvest. A drier pattern is in store during the coming week.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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