Commodities Market Impact Weather

Stagnant South America Pattern

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A near-unchanged pattern of heavy central Brazil rain, dry conditions in Argentina, and promising moisture chances for the Southern U.S. Plains are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Monday.

MIDWEST 10-DAY RAINFALL PROSPECT

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for more warm and dry conditions across the Midwest after a dry and warm weekend. A frontal boundary will be pushed progressively eastward by a few storm systems this week. Each impulse could bring moderate precipitation to the region, benefiting soil moisture as we head into spring. A system that will affect the Plains this weekend could bring additional moderate precipitation to the region next week.

SOUTHERN PLAINS PRECIPITATION WATCH

In the Southern Plain, scattered showers late last week were beneficial for winter wheat that is starting to break dormancy. A few more scattered showers are likely to cross the region this week. A system this coming weekend will be closely watched for prospects of moderate to heavy precipitation across the region, including for the areas in drought in the west. The track of this feature will be important. Cold air will fill in behind the system for next week, but temperatures do not appear to be low enough to cause damage at this time.

LIGHT MOISTURE FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Dry and warm conditions through the weekend continue in early week over the Northern Plains. Scattered showers and lower temperatures are in store Tuesday and Wednesday. The pattern turns drier again during late week.

VARIABLE DELTA TREND

The Delta has a mostly dry pattern in store for the first half of the week. Rain chances increase during the last half of the week into the coming weekend. Recent drier conditions are favorable for fieldwork.

MORE CENTRAL BRAZIL RAIN

Across Brazil, the past weekend featured rain in central areas while southern areas had a drier pattern. Central areas have periods of locally heavy rain ahead this week, which will keep soybean harvest slow along with planting of the safrinha corn crop. Meanwhile, dryness over the south will continue this week and produce stress for remaining immature corn and soybeans and newly planted corn.

CONTINUED DRY IN ARGENTINA

In central Argentina, dry conditions during the weekend were again stressful to filling corn and soybeans. Shower chances this week are in store only for isolated areas of the south and west. Elsewhere, the dry pattern will continue.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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