Commodities Market Impact Weather

Beneficial Brazil Rain Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Forecasts for timely rain in central Brazil and a drier trend in the Argentina outlook are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

MOSTLY DRY MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for mostly dry conditions in the Midwest during the weekend into next week. However, some showers may develop over the east on Friday and Monday. Near- to below-normal temperatures will not help drain fields or melt snow, causing further delay for the last of the corn harvest in the east into next week.

DRY SOUTHERN PLAINS PATTERN

In the Southern Plains, a week of dryness is expected before the next system moves into the region late next week or next weekend.

MILD NORTHERN PLAINS WEEKEND

In the Northern Plains, relative dryness and mild conditions will produce little stress to livestock during the next seven days. Lower temperatures and some snow will be possible late next week and next weekend. Drought is expanding in the region.

DRIER TREND FOR SOUTHEAST

Southeast crop areas have continued showers in the region Friday. Following the showers, a week of dryness is expected, helping soils to recover and the late stages of cotton harvest to resume.

IMPROVED BRAZIL MOISTURE PATTERN

Across Brazil, scattered showers over the south have relieved some stress on developing corn and soybeans from Rio Grande do Sul to Parana. Showers are migrating back into central and northern areas and will continue through next week, easing significant stress for developing to reproductive corn and soybeans.

DRIER ARGENTINA FORECAST

Argentina crop areas will see showers ending Friday, followed by mainly dry conditions over the next week. Areas that have been missed in the south could find more stress for developing corn and soybeans. Temperatures are forecast to be near to below normal which would ease dryness stress.

SCATTERED SOUTHERN EUROPE SHOWERS

Europe winter grains have temperatures running below freezing for much of the north and east. Crops are entering dormancy in good condition. Scattered showers in Spain and Italy will maintain favorable conditions for developing winter wheat.

NORTH AFRICA RAIN FORECAST

In North Africa, scattered moderate to heavy showers fell across the region over the last week, benefiting planting and early establishment, especially across the east. Significant rainfall deficits exist across Morocco.

Widespread moderate showers will develop through the weekend and much of next week, significantly benefiting planting and early development.

POSSIBLE AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

In Australia, recent showers were largely absent for much of New South Wales and Queensland, putting stress on developing cotton and sorghum as temperatures climbed well into the upper 30s and lower 40s Celsius. Scattered showers will develop across these areas on Thursday and continue through the weekend, bringing beneficial rainfall to much of the area.

SOUTH AFRICA SHOWERS

In South Africa, scattered moderate to heavy showers continue to benefit developing corn and sugarcane. Showers will continue to be in the area through the next week.

BENEFICIAL SOUTHEAST ASIA PATTERN

In Malaysia and Indonesia, recent and forecast showers have been adequate for palm oil prospects as monsoon showers continue.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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