Commodities Market Impact Weather

Dry Concern in Brazil

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Continued dryness concern in Brazil and Argentina and late-arriving moisture in the South Russia wheat areas are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

DRY MIDWEST FORECAST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for most Midwest areas to have dry and breezy conditions through late week, offering favorable conditions for the final stage of harvest. Snow squalls in the far eastern sector will cause some delay in the wind-up of harvest. Moderate rain is in store for the region during the coming weekend.

WINDY AND DRY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

Southern Plains wheat areas have windy and dry conditions ahead through the next three days. The dry pattern may force wheat in sectors with limited precipitation to go into dormancy. Periods of showers are indicated during the five- to seven-day time frame.

MILD IN NORTHERN PLAINS

The Northern Plains will be dry and warm during the balance of this week. Showers are possible during the weekend with conditions remaining mild.

DRY FOR SOUTHEAST

Delta and Southeast crop areas will be dry through the next seven days. This drier trend will be favorable for late-stage harvest.

MORE BRAZIL RAIN CONCERN

Brazil crop areas have a sharp variability in rain forecasts during the next week. Moderate to heavy totals are expected in northern areas, but only light amounts are forecast for central and southern areas. Concern is high about a lack of soil moisture for soybean crop development.

LIGHT ARGENTINA RAIN FORECAST

Argentina has light rain in the forecast through the rest of this week. Dryness concern is high in the primary central crop areas. The concern is enhanced by the presence of a well-established La Nina temperature pattern in the Pacific Ocean.

LATE PRECIPITATION IN SOUTH RUSSIA

Black Sea region crop areas have short to very short soil moisture supplies. Snow is in the forecast for eastern Ukraine and South Russia during the balance of the week. However, wheat is likely going into dormancy ahead of the precipitation occurrence.

LIGHT SHOWERS FOR AUSTRALIA

Australia wheat areas have only light showers in store this week, with very little disruption to wheat harvest. The Australia wheat crop is expected to be more than 80% larger than the drought-reduced crop of 2019-20.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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