Commodities Market Impact Weather

Delayed Brazil Soy Planting

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A delayed start to Brazil soybean planting and precipitation extremes in Europe and Russia wheat regions are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

MORE DRY HARVEST CONDITIONS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for favorably dry and very warm conditions across the U.S. Midwest through remainder of the week. This pattern favors row crop harvest. Showers and thunderstorms cross the region during the five to seven-day period with possibly locally heavy rain in the Ohio Valley leading to harvest disruption.

DRYNESS AND HEAT IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

Southern Plains crop and pasture areas have a continued hot and dry pattern in place through the next seven days. The dry trend will favor row crop harvest and winter wheat planting. However, soil moisture for early wheat development and fall livestock pasture is declining.

DRY AND WINDY IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Dry and windy conditions remain in place for the balance of this week in the Northern Plains. This pattern will favor harvest progress. Thunderstorms are indicated during the coming weekend will cause some disruption.

HEAVY HURRICANE RAIN FOR DELTA

Major Hurricane Delta in the Gulf of Mexico is on track to bring heavy rain to the Delta during the coming weekend. The rain will disrupt harvest and threatens to cause significant damage to cotton. Cotton in the region is nearly all harvest-ready and vulnerable to rain and wind damage.

SHOWERS FOR CENTRAL BRAZIL

Central Brazil crop areas have increasing rain chances during the next seven days. Rainfall may offer enough activity to indicate the start of the rainy season and encourage active soybean planting. Soybean planting has been delayed by more than two weeks later than average due to dry conditions. The region will be dry and very hot ahead of the rainfall.

LIGHT ARGENTINA RAIN

Central Argentina has only light rain in store through the next week. Recent rainfall offered only marginal relief from dry conditions. This drier trend will be watched closely for continued effect on central crop areas.

MORE EUROPE RAIN

Primary crop areas in Europe are in an ongoing pattern of heavy rain events. Additional storms and rain are forecast through the balance of the week. This extreme rain is leading to soggy soils and damage to the continent's newly planted winter wheat crop. Some acreage loss is possible.

ADDITIONAL RUSSIA DRYNESS

Russia wheat areas continue with a dry pattern for winter wheat. The Black Sea region in general has had no more than 20% of normal precipitation in the past 60 days. Major Russia wheat regions have mostly dry conditions indicated through the next week.

AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

Australia wheat areas have mostly light to moderate rain showers in the forecast through the next seven days. Southeastern Australia wheat areas may see moderate to locally heavy rainfall. Wheat prospects continue to indicate a much larger crop than the last two years.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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