Commodities Market Impact Weather

DRY FIVE-DAY FORECAST

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Dry conditions for the five-day period in the Midwest and no more than light rain for central Brazil are key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

VARIABLE MIDWEST 10-DAY PATTERN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for the Midwest to be dry for much of the remainder of the week, benefiting harvest activities. A system this weekend may pull in moisture from Tropical Storm Beta, producing moderate rainfall east of the Mississippi River. Another right behind it early next week may bring moderate rainfall but also rapidly falling temperatures.

SOUTHEAST PLAINS RAIN

In the Southern Plains, Tropical Storm Beta will produce showers over the southeastern corner of the region through Wednesday, with drier conditions expected elsewhere. Drier weather will benefit corn harvest and winter wheat planting activities, while showers in the southeast will maintain beneficial soil moisture for early germination of wheat.

WARM AND DRY IN NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, dry and warm conditions through the next week will benefit crop ripening and harvest. The drier trend will benefit livestock as well. Areas in drought are expected to continue in drought through the next three months.

STORMS FOR DELTA AND SOUTHEAST

In the Delta and Southeast, showers due to Tropical Storm Beta are in store through Thursday. Heavy amounts of rain will disrupt harvest and may damage crops, notably open-boll cotton.

LIGHT CENTRAL BRAZIL RAIN

Across Brazil, central region crop areas have scattered showers forecast through Thursday. Rainfall amounts are still indicated to be light and less than needed to initiate soybean planting. Recent showers have benefited corn planting and reproductive to filling wheat in the south. Heavy rain returns to southern areas this weekend and continues into next week.

POSSIBLE DROUGHT-EASING ARGENTINA RAIN

Recent showers over northern Argentina crop areas have boosted soil moisture for developing wheat. Drought still remains across much of the central and southern portions of the country. Dry weather continues for the next couple of days, but moderate to heavy rain is expected Thursday night through the weekend, boosting soil moisture for many areas in the central and south.

DRY FOR PRAIRIES HARVEST

The Canadian Prairies will have mostly dry conditions this week, favoring the continued harvest.

STORMY EUROPE FORECAST

Across Europe crop areas, an upper level system will continue showers across the south over the next few days. A strong system will move through the western half of the continent later this week and through the east this weekend, boosting soil moisture for winter grains planting and germination. Areas still waiting to harvest will find poor conditions, however.

LIMITED RUSSIA RAIN

Russia and Ukraine wheat areas have limited rain ahead this week. Dry soils are concerning for winter wheat planting. Ukraine may receive a few light showers in the seven-day time frame.

CONTINUED AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

Western and eastern Australia wheat areas will have scattered showers continue through the week, helping to boost moisture for developing to reproductive wheat and rapeseed.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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