Commodities Market Impact Weather

Drier Central US Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Scattered showers for the next week in the Midwest and dry conditions forecast in South America, Europe and Russia are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

SCATTERED MIDWEST SHOWERS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for scattered rain showers across the Midwest during the next week. Temperatures will show more of a seasonal trend after much-below-normal values during the past week. Rainfall brought some benefit to later soybeans; however, ongoing rainfall may disrupt harvest in southern areas.

PATTERN CHANGE FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

Southern Plains crop areas have a notably warmer and drier pattern forecast after the past week's cool and rainy spell. Soil moisture is improved for winter wheat planting.

WARMER AND DRIER IN NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, a much warmer and drier trend is in store over the next week. This change will be useful for drying out of soils and crops along with possible early harvest. The drier and warmer trend will benefit livestock as well.

SHOWER PERIODS FOR DELTA

The Delta has a wetter pattern in the forecast over the next seven days. Frequent periods of rain will disrupt harvest and may affect crop quality, notably in cotton.

HEAVY RAIN FOR SOUTHEAST

The Southeast has heavy rainfall in the seven-day forecast. Rain may damage late-stage cotton and bring on some grain harvest disruption.

WARMER PRAIRIES PATTERN

The Canadian Prairies will see moderating temperatures and drier conditions through the balance of the week, favorable for wheat harvest progress.

MEAGER EUROPE MOISTURE

Primary wheat areas in Europe have zero to light precipitation in the forecast through next week. Rain deficits are already leading to reduced wheat planted acreage in France.

ONGOING DRY RUSSIA PATTERN

Russia and Ukraine wheat areas continue with a mainly dry pattern through the next week. This is unfavorable for wheat planting.

CENTRAL BRAZIL STAYING DRY

High producing central crop Brazil crop areas remain dry. Forecast models continue to suggest the wet season may be late this spring, delaying soybean planting.

DRY ARGENTINA FORECAST

Very little rain is forecast for central Argentina over the next seven days. This is unfavorable for wheat and offers no improvement in soil moisture for row crop planting later in the season.

SOUTHEAST AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

Southeast Australia wheat areas have moderate to heavy rain forecast through the next week. Areas to benefit include South Australia, Victoria and southern New South Wales. The remainder of New South Wales and Queensland have light rain in store. Western Australia also has only light rain indicated.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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