Commodities Market Impact Weather

Useful Eastern Midwest Rain

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Beneficial late-season rainfall in the eastern Midwest and prospects for moisture in the next week over the Southern Plains wheat areas ahead of planting are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

EASTERN MIDWEST RAIN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for variable rain in the Midwest during early September. Portions of the eastern Midwest had favorable moderate to locally heavy rain Tuesday with benefit for soybeans and late-stage corn. Light showers continue in the eastern Midwest through Thursday. A strong system will bring scattered showers and falling temperatures during early to mid-next week.

SOUTHERN PLAINS SHOWERS

In the Southern Plains, scattered showers in southern sectors through Friday will offer favorable moisture for winter wheat planting. A strong system will bring scattered showers and much lower temperatures early next week.

NORTHERN PLAINS FROST CHANCE

The Northern Plains will be dry and windy Wednesday with notable crop drying. This pattern will favor spring wheat harvest. A strong storm is in store early next week with moderate showers and colder conditions. There may be some frost a couple of nights next week.

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ADDITIONAL DELTA SHOWERS

Scattered showers are expected through the rest of the week in the Delta, especially in the north, helping remaining filling cotton and soybeans.

DRIER SOUTHEAST PATTERN

Southeast crop areas have a drier pattern in store. Scattered showers become isolated on Wednesday. Open boll cotton will find more favorable conditions for drying out later in the week.

COOL ACROSS PRAIRIES

Canadian Prairies crop areas will be cool over the next week. Temperatures reached freeze level during early week and are likely to recur. Precipitation will be mainly light. The growing season has been favorable for wheat with higher production estimates than a year ago.

SOUTHERN BRAZIL RAIN FOCUS

Brazil rainfall is mainly focused on the southern sectors. Rio Grande do Sul had moderate rain Tuesday. Central Brazil crop areas continue with a dry pattern. This trend will be closely watched for possible change ahead of mid-September. The mid-September period is the official starting date for the beginning of soybean planting.

CHILLY IN ARGENTINA

Argentina central crop areas remain very cool with temperatures well-below normal and nights falling below freezing again across the north. The colder pattern is also expected over central areas with some risks of frosts and freezes and stress to developing wheat. Showers look to remain limited to mostly northern areas this week.

VARIABLE BLACK SEA SHOWERS

In the Black Sea region, showers in western Ukraine will move southeast into southern Russia this weekend but diminish during that time frame. Heat will stick around until this system crosses the region, stressing filling crops. Harvest activities will benefit from the heat and overall dryness, however.

MIXED AUSTRALIA MOISTURE

Australia wheat areas continue with a mixed soil moisture trend. Western and eastern crop areas have improved soil moisture compared with a year ago. However, Queensland remains drier with very little rain in the forecast.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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