Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Additional Midwest heat stress through the next two days and the prospect of heavy rain from Hurricane Laura are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

ADDITIONAL MIDWEST HEAT STRESS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for more stressful heat in the Midwest through midweek. Hot and dry conditions are withering crops, notably in the flash drought areas of the western Midwest. Temperatures trend more seasonal during the balance of the week; however, precipitation shows only light amounts over most of the region over the next seven days.

SOUTHERN PLAINS SHOWER CHANCES

In the Southern Plains, periods of scattered showers are indicated during the next five days for most areas except western Texas. Some southeast sectors could see locally heavy rain due to Hurricane Laura. Temperatures continue to show a seasonal to above normal trend through the balance of the week.

VARIABLE NORTHERN PLAINS CONDITIONS

Northern Plains crop areas have variable conditions over the next two days. The northern half of the region will see seasonal temperatures and scattered thunderstorms. The southern sector has stressful heat and dryness; crop conditions have a notable decline in South Dakota due to heat. All sectors of the region turn more seasonal for temperatures with wider coverage of shower and thunderstorms later in the five-day period.

HURRICANE LAURA WATCH IN DELTA

In the Delta and Southeast, prospects for heavy rain from developing Hurricane Laura during late week will be closely watched. The Delta has a notable risk of very heavy flooding rain. Tropical Low Marco is already a rain producer in the Southeast.

LIMITED SOUTHERN PRAIRIES RAIN

Southern sectors of the Canadian Prairies have only light amounts of rain in the forecast through the five-day period. Declining crop moisture is especially unfavorable in southern Saskatchewan. Temperatures have a cooler trend which will offer some mitigation of dryness impact.

MILD BRAZIL PATTERN

Brazil crop areas have a mild pattern over the next five days. Rain will again focus on southern crop regions. Temperatures have a mainly seasonal trend.

ARGENTINA DRYNESS

Most Argentina crop areas have short to very short soil moisture supplies. Light rain over the next five days will bring very little improvement.

EUROPE SHOWER PROSPECTS

Across Europe, scattered showers will continue into the southeast early this week, with beneficial conditions for filling crops. Showers are also indicated through the balance of the week across the continent.

LIMITED BLACK SEA RAINFALL

In the Black Sea region, drier areas from central Ukraine through southern Russia will be mostly dry this week until a storm system finally moves through with scattered showers late this week. Harvest activities will benefit while filling corn and sunflowers will continue to show stress in many areas.

SCATTERED AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

Australia wheat areas have scattered light rain showers indicated through the rest of the week. Queensland is still in a drier pattern. Other wheat areas have adequate soil moisture.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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