Commodities Market Impact Weather

Very Little Midwest Rain

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Minimal rainfall ahead for the Midwest and continued drier conditions in the Southern Plains are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Thursday.

LIMITED MIDWEST PRECIPITATION

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for limited precipitation over the next seven days. This is unfavorable for filling row crops. Near to above normal temperatures in the next week will add to crop stress. More than 80% of the state of Iowa is in some phase of drought according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.

DRY SOUTHERN PLAINS PATTERN

Very little rain is in store for the Southern Plains over the next week. The drier trend along with very warm conditions will be unfavorable for summer crops in need of late-season moisture. There are also questions about the soil moisture supply ahead of winter wheat planting.

SCATTERED NORTHERN PLAINS RAIN

Northern Plains crop areas have scattered rain periods in the seven-day forecast. Rain occurrences will be unfavorable for spring wheat harvest. Row crop moisture is generally favorable.

SCATTERED DELTA AND SOUTHEAST RAIN

In the Delta and Southeast, the Delta will have very little rain during the coming week. The Southeast has moderate to locally heavy amounts indicated. Tropical system development will be closely watched as well.

VARIABLE PRAIRIES RAIN

Canadian Prairies rainfall continues with a variable prospect in the next seven days. Northern areas have moderate amounts in store. Southern sectors have mainly light amounts. There is no significant easing of dryness in the southern sector, particularly in southern Saskatchewan.

BRAZIL FROST THREAT

Southern Brazil has a high prospect for very cool to cold conditions in the next five days. This includes the prospect of a frost or freeze. Such a colder pattern would be unfavorable for wheat and for recently planted corn. Southern Brazil has a good chance for rain, which would favor wheat soil moisture.

ARGENTINA RAIN CHANCE

Central Argentina continues with rain chances in the five-day forecast. This would be useful for wheat soil moisture.

EUROPE SHOWER PROSPECTS

Across Europe, two storm systems will continue to produce showers over the course of the week, offering some improvement in summer crop conditions. Drought and heat have reduced yield prospects, notably in France and Germany.

SCATTERED BLACK SEA SHOWERS

In the Black Sea region, western Ukraine and southern Russia will have light to moderate rain during the next week. Other sectors will be dry or with only light rainfall. Drier areas will have favorable wheat harvest conditions.

MIXED AUSTRALIA RAIN

Across Australia, wheat areas in Western Australia, New South Wales and Victoria have light to locally moderate rain in the five-day forecast. Other crop areas will have limited activity.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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