Commodities Market Impact Weather

Drier Central US Pattern

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
Connect with Bryce:

OMAHA (DTN) -- Drier and warmer conditions for the central United States and a continued hot and dry forecast for Black Sea region crop areas are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Thursday.

LIMITED MIDWEST 10-DAY RAIN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a very warm and drier pattern to cover the Midwest during the next 10 days. Moderate to heavy rain in the last few days brought additional soil moisture for crops. This moisture will be called upon in the upcoming warmer and drier period. Some occasional isolated areas of rainfall may be possible next week, but not consistent across the region.

HOT AND DRY SOUTHERN PLAINS OUTLOOK

The Southern Plains have a hot and dry pattern ahead through the next 10 days to two weeks. This combination favors winter wheat ripening and harvest. Meanwhile, the dry and hot pattern may be stressful to row crops. Irrigation demand will be high.

SHOWERS AND HEAT FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, favorable growing conditions are expected for the next few days. Heat is set to return ahead of a new rain system during the coming weekend. Additional occurrence of moderate rainfall will help emerging to developing crops. Periods of showers may continue through next week as well.

DRY AND HOT DELTA FORECAST

The Delta has an extensive period of drier conditions in the forecast for the next 10 days to two weeks. Crop stress may develop.

CONTINUED SOUTHEAST RAIN

In the southeastern U.S., periods of rain continue in the forecast through the balance of the week. Scattered moderate showers continue across the region through Wednesday. Additional heavy showers are possible in coastal areas through the weekend.

NEAR-GENERAL RAIN FOR PRAIRIES

Canadian Prairies crop areas have moderate to heavy rain indicated during the coming weekend. Rain lingers through next week with more periods of possible showers, benefiting emerging crops.

HOT RUSSIA FORECAST

A heat wave in Russia and Ukraine in the seven-day forecast will be stressful to crops. The impact could be especially noteworthy from South Russia through the Volga Valley and farther east into Kazakhstan.

HEAT FOR NORTHERN EUROPE

Northern Europe has a heat wave in the forecast through the next week. This hotter trend will be stressful to crops, notably in Germany and Poland. River levels in Germany continue to be low due to very dry conditions during the past few months.

RAIN TARGETS SOUTHERN BRAZIL

In Brazil, rainfall remains confined to Parana and points southward through the week, a benefit to corn and cotton and developing wheat where flooding does not occur. Dryness in the north is favorable for safrinha corn harvest but will be stressful to late-filling crops.

VARIABLE ARGENTINA RAIN

Across Argentina, scattered moderate showers will continue over the north through the week, but southern areas will see little to no showers. Soil moisture is short in the central and south outside of Buenos Aires and some stress to emerging wheat may be occurring.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS FOR AUSTRALIA

Australia wheat areas have widespread showers in the forecast through the weekend. This rain system will maintain favorable soil moisture for wheat crop development.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
Connect with Bryce: