Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Very warm conditions ahead across the central United States and signs of dryness reducing corn crop size in Brazil are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

FAVORABLE MIDWEST COMBINATION

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for very warm to hot conditions in the Midwest during this week. Crop stress is expected to be minimal due to ample soil moisture. Instead, rapid development of crops is expected. The pattern also features periodic showers, favoring row crop progress.

MIXED SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN PROSPECT

In the Southern Plains, very warm to hot and mainly dry conditions are in store for drought-affected western sectors this week. Eastern sectors have some rain prospect to accompany the warming trend, which will reduce crop stress from heat.

VERY WARM FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Heat builds across the Northern Plains this week. Hotter conditions could lead to stress for emerging and developing crops, but this may come with additional showers as well, which would reduce the stress.

DRIER DELTA PATTERN

The Delta was dry over the past weekend, allowing for late-stage planting. Isolated showers during mid to late week are indicated, along with a hotter trend.

BENEFICIAL PRAIRIES PATTERN

In the Canadian Prairies, moderate showers fell last week for the drier sections of Alberta and Saskatchewan, boosting soil moisture for emerging crops. Scattered showers continued in mostly Alberta on Sunday. Higher-than-normal temperatures this week should accelerate planting and crop growth.

SCATTERED BLACK SEA SHOWERS

Across the Black Sea region, Ukraine had scattered weekend showers. Rain is useful for heading to filling wheat and developing corn and sunflowers. This week finds periods of rain crossing Ukraine and western Russia.

LATE-WEEK WESTERN EUROPE RAIN PROSPECT

In Western Europe, France and Germany have favorable chances for rain during mid to late week. Additional showers are possible into next week as well. The rain would be beneficial for wheat.

MIXED BRAZIL RAIN PATTERN

Across Brazil, southern crop areas continue to be in line for moderate to heavy rain during the coming week. The rain is coming too late for meaningful crop benefit. Parana is now projected to have corn production lagging a year ago by more than 10%. Farther north, light rain in Mato Grosso will be favorable for the safrinha corn harvest.

SOUTHERN ARGENTINA SHOWERS

In Argentina, southern crop areas had moderate to locally heavy rain during the past weekend. Central and northern areas were missed. Some stress to developing wheat may occur. Another system moves through late this week, but showers look more limited to northern areas.

VARIABLE AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

Moderate rainfall moved through Western Australia wheat areas late last week into the weekend, benefiting emerging to developing wheat. Eastern areas were drier for all but the south, mainly in Victoria, but soil moisture and irrigation reserves are adequate. Rather dry conditions are expected this week, fostering growth.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

(c) Copyright 2020 DTN, LLC. All rights reserved.