Commodities Market Impact Weather

Warm Weather to Hasten Midwest Growth

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A very warm trend for Midwest crop development and limited rain for Europe wheat areas are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

HEAT TO SUPPORT MIDWEST CROPS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for light eastern Midwest rain Friday. A hotter trend is in store during the next week. Crops are likely to show rapid development due to ample soil moisture supply. Showers will likely accompany the heat from Iowa to Ohio, where growing conditions look to be very good.

DRIER SOUTHERN PLAINS TREND

In the Southern Plains, growing conditions continue to be better in eastern areas while the southwest remains drier than optimal, despite recent showers. Notably drier weather will take hold for most of the region during the next several days. Heat building next week could cause some stress for the drier areas.

SHOWERS AND MILD FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Across the Northern Plains, scattered showers will occur over the south Saturday, with drier conditions otherwise in store through early next week. Producers should not have much trouble finishing planting under these conditions. Heat building next week could lead to stress for emerging and developing crops, but this may come with additional showers as well, which would reduce the stress.

DRIER DELTA PATTERN

The Delta has a warm to hot and drier pattern indicated during the next seven days. This combination will offer opportunities for late planting. Some stress may develop due to the lack of moisture next week.

FAVORABLE PRAIRIES FORECAST

The Canadian Prairies have a warmer forecast during the next week. This pattern should accelerate planting and crop growth. Showers may also increase, which would benefit emerging crops.

VARIABLE BLACK SEA FORECAST

In the Black Sea region, conditions continue to be quite favorable for heading wheat and developing corn and sunflower in Ukraine. Dryness is forming in western and southern Russia. Showers continue during the next several days in Ukraine, but limited showers are expected for Russia. Showers may be more plentiful for southern Russia next week, but it could be too late.

DRY WEEK FOR WESTERN EUROPE

In Western Europe, France and Germany have little to no rain in the seven-day forecast. Wheat crop prospects are declining due to the drier trend. Eastern Europe crop areas have better rain chances.

SOUTHERN BRAZIL RAIN FOCUS

Across Brazil, southern crop areas are in line for light to moderate rain through the next seven days. The rain is beneficial for winter corn in Parana and Mato Grosso do Sul. Lighter rain is featured in the forecast for Mato Grosso and Goias. Safrinha corn harvest is beginning in central Brazil.

SOUTHERN ARGENTINA SHOWERS

In Argentina, southern crop areas have a good chance of rain through the next week. The rain will be favorable for developing wheat. A drier trend in northern area will favor harvest progress.

MORE AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

Western Australia wheat areas have beneficial showers in the forecast through the weekend. Eastern areas have adequate moisture for crop development due to recent rainfall.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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