Commodities Market Impact Weather

Rainy Week for Midwest

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Mid- to late-week rain for the Midwest and favorable rain crossing the Southern Plains are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

CHILLS AND RAIN FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for subfreezing conditions in the northern and eastern Midwest through Wednesday. This continues several mornings of cold weather since last week and causes concern for recently emerging crops and developing wheat. A couple of dry days are expected before moderate-to-heavy rain moves through Wednesday and Thursday. Rain continues Friday with some flooding possible. The heavy rain may force some replanting.

RAIN CROSSES SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, early week rain is beneficial for developing and early reproductive winter wheat. Additional showers are expected through Wednesday and possibly at the end of the week as well. Some areas may pick up an inch or more of rain. Morning lows below freezing may cause a concern for developing to reproductive wheat in Nebraska through Tuesday morning. Kansas may be just far enough south to not have issues, but should be monitored as well in the northwest. The cold could damage any early planted corn and developing wheat and could lead to replanting if the damage is too severe.

COLD AGAIN FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

A cold pattern continues for the Northern Plains through the next 10 days. Subfreezing conditions through Tuesday morning will need to be monitored. A system with moderate showers, including some snow, moves through Tuesday-Wednesday. Additional rainfall is expected through the end of the week and the weekend of May 15-17. Fieldwork and planting delays are likely along with the prospect of prevented planting.

BRIEF DELTA SHOWERS

The Delta had moderate-to-heavy rain during the end of last week. Additional showers are expected during the next five days. The seven-day time frame has moderate-to-heavy rain with potential flooding.

ADDITIONAL RUSSIA AND UKRAINE RAIN

Wheat areas in the Black Sea region of Russia and Ukraine saw beneficial rain during the past week. Periods of showers will move through this week as well, though not as much as what fell last week.

COOL AND WET IN EUROPE

Across Europe, showers and cool conditions are in store for central and northern areas this week. Precipitation includes snow through Tuesday in Germany and Poland. Developing to reproductive wheat and rapeseed to the south continue to see beneficial conditions but the southeast is starting to run some precipitation deficits that need monitoring.

SCATTERED RAINS FOR BRAZIL

Dryness remains a concern for most crop areas in Brazil. Soil moisture is very short in southern, south-central and eastern areas. A front will slowly creep northward through the country this week. Showers look to be heaviest over the south through Wednesday with diminishing showers northward. Rain is much needed and will be closely monitored.

CONTINUED ARGENTINA DRYNESS

Argentina crop areas will be dry through the next seven days. The drier trend benefits corn and soybean harvest; however, recent dryness has been unfavorable for river transport of commodities.

FAVORABLE AUSTRALIA MOISTURE

Australia wheat areas have favorable moisture for seeding and early crop development after a more active rainfall pattern.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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