Commodities Market Impact Weather

Variable Planting Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A variable planting forecast for the next week in the Midwest, and stress to winter wheat from dryness and cold are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

MIXED SEVEN-DAY PLANTING FORECAST

The DTN ag weather forecast continues to feature moderate-to-heavy rain in eastern Midwest areas during the next seven days. The rain will hinder fieldwork and planting. The western Midwest has a drier forecast, which will favor continued progress.

WARM, DRY AND WINDY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

The Southern Plains have stressful dry, windy and very warm-to-hot conditions ahead through the balance of the week. Wheat conditions are declining due to the impact of dryness along with freezes in mid-April. Shower chances become more numerous in the seven to 10-day time frame.

SHOWERS AND COOL IN NORTHERN PLAINS

The Northern Plains region has periods of showers over the next few days in the forecast. The pattern turns drier in the balance of the seven-day period; however, conditions will remain cool, running near to below normal. This combination will keep fieldwork and planting slow along with the delayed corn harvest. Spring wheat planting is proceeding at only half the average pace.

THUNDERSTORMS FOR DELTA

Planting progress in the Delta continues to lag the average pace. The region has moderate-to-heavy rain in the forecast through midweek, which will bring a new round of delays to progress. The pattern turns drier in the balance of the week, with improvement in progress indicated.

EUROPE RAIN CHANCES

Central and northern Europe crop areas again have a good chance for rain over the next seven days. This would be important moisture for wheat areas and will be closely tracked.

BLACK SEA SHOWER FORECAST

Black Sea region wheat areas have light rain in the forecast during the balance of this week. Winter grains in Russia and Ukraine need additional moisture as they go through their development and reproductive phases. Above-average temperatures add to soil drying.

MIXED BRAZIL RAIN FORECAST

Brazil crop areas have a mixed seven-day rain forecast. Central crop areas will remain dry with stressful conditions for the safrinha corn crop. Southern areas have heavier amounts; however, dryness has already caused crop reduction.

ARGENTINA SHOWERS

Argentina crop areas have light-to-moderate rain in the next seven days. The rain will add to very wet conditions already, with harvest disruption and some flooding.

VARIABLE AUSTRALIA RAIN PROSPECTS

Australia winter wheat areas have a wide variance in rain chances over the next seven days. Western Australia will be mainly dry with additional rain needed to benefit newly seeded wheat. Eastern areas have light-to-moderate rain with locally heavy amounts in New South Wales. Soil moisture is notably improved for the new wheat crop planting and growth in eastern Australia wheat areas.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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