Commodities Market Impact Weather

Mixed Midwest Fieldwork Conditions

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A variable trend in the Midwest and continued dryness concerns in the Black Sea region and Europe are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

VARIABLE MIDWEST TREND

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for dry conditions across the Midwest Tuesday to allow continued fieldwork and row crop planting. Moderate-to-locally heavy rain is indicated during the last half of the week, which will delay further progress. However, no long-term delays are suggested.

SOUTHERN PLAINS SHOWER FORECAST

Wheat areas in the southwestern Plains remain dry. Forecast late-week showers may offer improvement. A hard freeze in the past week damaged jointing wheat. The extent of loss is still to be determined.

MILD NORTHERN PLAINS PATTERN

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In the Northern Plains, near normal temperatures and the lack of organized showers this week should allow fieldwork to progress. Scattered showers move through the region during late week.

MIXED DELTA OUTLOOK

The Delta has dry conditions Tuesday for fieldwork and planting progress. Storms during the last half of the week will curtail further progress. Any areas that have been able to plant thus far should find conditions favorable for emergence.

MORE SOUTHERN BRAZIL DRYNESS

Southern Brazil crop areas have continued dryness, which brings ideas of further reduction in soybean and corn crop sizes. Central areas have scattered showers with likely stress to safrinha corn.

LATE-WEEK ARGENTINA RAIN FORECAST

Argentina crop areas will be drier through midweek. Crop size estimates are being shaved due to the drier pattern in the last half of the crop season. Rain returns to the forecast by late week with possibly heavy amounts to delay harvest.

VARIABLE EUROPE RAIN

Across Europe, drier conditions over the central and northern growing areas lead to concern about stress to wheat and rapeseed. Southern areas are seeing plentiful showers this week that will help developing to reproductive wheat and rapeseed.

MINIMAL RUSSIA RAIN

In the Black Sea region, only brief rain showers are forecast for Ukraine and South Russia during the week. Winter grains need moisture as they move through their development phases earlier than average.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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