Commodities Market Impact Weather

Drier 10-Day Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A drier 10-day forecast over the central United States, and ongoing dry conditions in southern Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

MIDWEST PATTERN TURNS DRIER

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for precipitation to focus on the eastern Midwest during the next seven days, with moderate-to-locally heavy amounts. Western Midwest areas have lighter precipitation indicated. The pattern turns notably warmer and drier in all areas in the 10-to-14-day time frame. This combination suggests better conditions for spring fieldwork.

VARIABLE SOUTHERN PLAINS MOISTURE

In the Southern Plains, rain looks to be confined to northern and eastern areas during the rest of the week, while drier sections in the southwest will largely remain dry. Winter wheat coming out of dormancy could use more moisture in these drier areas. Dry and warmer weather is on tap for next week.

ORDERLY NORTHERN PLAINS SNOW MELT

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Northern Plains areas have a moderate and orderly melt rate of snow cover in the region, indicating more favorable conditions for spring fieldwork. Recent milder and drier trends have also allowed for progress in the delayed corn harvest.

MIXED DELTA RAIN OUTLOOK

The Delta has moderate rain indicated through the end of the week. Drier conditions are indicated in the six-to-10-day outlook, offering some prospects for fieldwork.

CONTINUED SOUTHERN BRAZIL DRYNESS

Southern Brazil crop areas have additional dry conditions forecast this week, stressing filling corn and soybeans. Central growing areas will see more showers through the next five days. Northern areas should continue to see periods of showers.

MIXED ARGENTINA SHOWERS

Argentina has variable rains indicated through this week. Some moderate amounts are expected over central growing areas, which will help late-filling corn and soybeans. Additional opportunities for scattered showers are indicated over the weekend.

FAVORABLE BLACK SEA MOISTURE

In the Black Sea region, Russia and Ukraine continue with favorable soil moisture, benefitting crops breaking dormancy a month ahead of normal. A cold outbreak continues over the next couple of days and could be a concern for a reduced winter hardiness crop, especially over western areas.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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