Commodities Market Impact Weather

High Spring Flood Risk

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A high threat of flooding in the northern Midwest during this spring season, and mainly dry conditions in southern Brazil and Argentina, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

NORTHERN MIDWEST FLOOD THREAT

The DTN ag weather forecast keeps periods of rain in store across the Midwest during the next week. Fieldwork disruption and some flooding are likely. Northern areas have a high prospect of flooding during the coming spring after record precipitation during 2019 and periods of wet weather through the winter of 2019-20.

DRIER PERIOD FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, a drier trend is indicated through the next five days. Drier sections in the southwest could be under stress due to limited precipitation and windy conditions during the past week.

COOL TO COLD FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Northern Plains areas have cool to cold conditions through early next week, still causing stress to livestock. There is also the chance for another large storm to move through the region during the middle of next week.

WEEKEND DELTA RAIN

The Delta has additional moderate-to-heavy rainfall indicated during the next five days. Wet conditions have caused significant disruption in fieldwork. Flooding is a major threat due to already-saturated soils ahead of the rain.

SOUTHERN BRAZIL DRYNESS

Southern Brazil crop areas have very little rain indicated through the next week. Dryness stress has already led to reduced soybean crop prospects in Rio Grande do Sul. Central and northern Brazil crop areas have heavier rain in the forecast. Soybean and second-crop corn production have large estimates in these areas due to favorable moisture this season.

MINIMAL ARGENTINA RAIN

Argentina's central crop areas will have mainly light rain through the weekend. The lighter rain will combine with very warm weather to stress crops.

BENEFICIAL BLACK SEA MOISTURE

In the Black Sea region, soil moisture has increased over the region, benefitting crops breaking dormancy a month ahead of normal. A cold outbreak from this weekend into next week could be a concern for a reduced winter hardiness crop, especially over western areas.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

(ES)

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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