Commodities Market Impact Weather

Wet Week for Central US

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Periods of rain and snow across the central United States during the coming week, and beneficial rain over most of Brazil and Argentina crop areas, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

WET MIDWEST PATTERN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for an active storm pattern with rain and snow in the Midwest through the next 10 days. Precipitation will be heaviest in the southern half of the region. Fieldwork disruption and flooding are likely. Northern areas will see less precipitation; however, some locally heavy snow is possible during late week. This ongoing wet pattern will be unfavorable for field drying and warming of soils ahead of spring fieldwork.

SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

In the Southern Plains, periods of rainfall will boost soil moisture for most of the region over the next 10 days. Drier sections in the southwest could still use more moisture as winter wheat breaks dormancy.

NORTHERN PLAINS COLD AND SNOW

Northern Plains areas will have low temperatures and some heavy snow during this week. Temperatures below to well below normal this week will stress livestock. Moderate-to-heavy snow will also be possible in eastern sectors late this week, and there is potential for another large storm system in the middle of next week.

ONGOING DELTA FLOOD THREAT

The Delta has near-daily rounds of rain through the next 10 days. Precipitation totals will be moderate to heavy. This wet pattern will cause significant disruption in fieldwork. The moderate-to-heavy precipitation will also cause flooding.

BENEFICIAL BRAZIL RAIN

Across Brazil, beneficial showers have returned to the main growing areas across the country. Late-developing and emerging crops should benefit across the region.

ADDITIONAL ARGENTINA RAIN

Argentina's central crop areas have had useful moderate showers over the past few days, beneficial for filling corn and soybeans. Periods of showers look to continue through this week.

COLDER FOR BLACK SEA REGION

In the Black Sea region, soil moisture has increased over the last several days, benefitting crops breaking dormancy a month ahead of normal. A cold outbreak may occur next week that should be watched for possible damage to winter wheat with reduced hardiness.

IMPROVED AUSTRALIA MOISTURE

Eastern Australia has seen more frequent periods of rain during the past four weeks, which have bolstered soil moisture supplies although drought is still in effect. Moisture for the start of winter wheat seeding in mid-April is looking more favorable.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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