Commodities Market Impact Weather

South America Dryness

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Dry conditions in much of South America, and additional precipitation in the eastern Midwest and Delta, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

EASTERN MIDWEST PRECIPITATION

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for moderate early week rain in the eastern Midwest. The 10-day pattern features light precipitation, mostly as rain, in the western Midwest and moderate-to-locally heavy amounts again in the eastern Midwest. Western Midwest soil moisture conditions are becoming less saturated, while eastern Midwest areas will have very limited drying and maintain high concern for fieldwork delays.

STORMY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, a strong system builds over Texas Tuesday and Wednesday with heavy rainfall potential. A system early next week could produce more moderate widespread precipitation.

NORTHERN PLAINS SNOW MELT

In the Northern Plains, above-normal temperatures through the next week will favor snowmelt and some easing of soil saturation. A return to harvest activities may be possible for some areas, though very wet soil conditions will continue for those areas that still need to be harvested.

DELTA STAYS WET

The Delta will see several rounds of precipitation through Thursday, keeping soils wet and limiting fieldwork. Another strong storm could bring additional heavy rain to the area next week.

DRIER BRAZIL PATTERN

The Brazil crop weather pattern features rain in northeastern areas and drier conditions elsewhere during the next week. Dry conditions in central Brazil favor soybean harvest, but additional moisture is needed to maintain growth and development of safrinha corn.

STILL DRY IN ARGENTINA

Argentina remains dry, with a higher risk of stress to filling corn and soybeans. Stress will increase due to conditions turning very warm to hot. Isolated showers start to become possible on Friday.

STILL FAVORABLE BLACK SEA PATTERN

Periods of rain continue in the forecast for Russia and Ukraine during the next seven days. Rainfall will offer soil moisture benefit for winter wheat. No winterkill was noted during the past winter season.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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