Commodities Market Impact Weather

Mixed South America Rainfall

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Variable rainfall in primary South America crop regions, and a drier trend in the central United States going into the new year, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

DRIER TREND FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for drier conditions in the Midwest during the first few days of 2020. This less-active period will allow for roadway clean-up and higher river levels to recede following the large storm system in the final weekend of 2019.

FAVORABLE SOUTHERN PLAINS MOISTURE

In the Southern Plains, the past weekend's storm system brought favorable moisture to winter wheat areas. There is no significant cold-weather threat indicated through the early part of the new year.

CALMER NORTHERN PLAINS PATTERN

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In the Northern Plains, a drier trend with variable temperatures is indicated through the next week. The lack of storm activity will allow roadway cleaning and improved livestock conditions. However, unharvested crops will remain in fields until spring.

CONTINUED MIXED BRAZIL RAIN

Across Brazil, southern crop areas continue with a drier trend. Showers this week appear to offer only marginal easing of dryness concerns. Central crop areas have mainly favorable growing conditions. Northeast crop areas are still too dry; however, some showers may develop during the next week.

SCATTERED ARGENTINA SHOWERS

In Argentina's major crop areas, dryness remains of significant concern over La Pampa through southern Buenos Aires. These locations have had some shower activity with light showers and less hot weather expected this week, but more rain is still needed.

WARM AND DRY IN BLACK SEA REGION

In the Black Sea region, recent rainfall and above normal temperatures will help improve soil moisture in winter grains areas of Ukraine and Russia. A warm and dry pattern is indicated during the next week. The temperature trend will be closely watched due to winter wheat areas lacking snow cover.

VARIABLE SOUTH AFRICA CONDITIONS

In South Africa, western and southern crop areas have favorable soil moisture. Northern and northeastern crop areas are drier and hotter.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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