Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- A large storm system for the central United States, and widely variable rainfall across Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

LARGE MIDWEST WEEKEND STORM

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for moderate to heavy precipitation in the Midwest Friday night into Sunday, with heavy snow and ice possible northwest and far west areas. This likely means delays to any late harvest activities and fieldwork for a time. Transportation and transport will be affected due to snow in far west and northwest areas.

MOISTURE FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, the large interior U.S. storm system is in line to produce moderate to locally heavy precipitation during the next few days. The moisture will be beneficial for winter wheat. There is also some risk for snow and some wind in livestock areas. However, due to limited cold conditions, this is not expected to be a major concern.

NORTHERN PLAINS WINTER STORM

In the Northern Plains, a mix of snow, ice and rain will cover much of the eastern Dakotas and western Minnesota this weekend. Heavy snow and wind are likely for central and eastern South Dakota, possibly further north than that. Any late fieldwork will be ending. The storm and various precipitation will increase stress to livestock. Travel and transportation will also be affected.

DRY AND HOT IN SOUTHERN BRAZIL

In southern Brazil, continued heat and dryness is indicated for Rio Grande do Sul and Parana through the next week. Crop stress could be notable, due to soils in Rio Grande do Sul being prone to dry quickly.

NORTHERN BRAZIL RAIN

Brazil's northern crop areas, including the large-production state of Mato Grosso, have moderate to heavy rain indicated in the seven-day forecast. Rain will continue to provide soil moisture for developing and pod-setting soybeans. The rain area includes much of the recently dry northeastern crop sector.

RAIN AHEAD FOR ARGENTINA

Argentina's central crop areas have widespread rain indicated through the next week. Cordoba and Santa Fe will benefit from additional shower and thundershowers at the end of this week and this weekend. This may include previously dry areas of southern Cordoba and northern Buenos Aires as well. Dryness remains of significant concern over La Pampa, west and south Buenos Aires. However, these areas are also expected to see scattered thundershower activity through Sunday. There is an additional chance for southern Buenos Aires and La Pampa to receive rain on Monday.

RAIN FOR BLACK SEA REGION

The Black Sea region has improved soil moisture for Ukraine and Russia winter grains, due to recent rainfall and additional precipitation in the forecast. Crops have no protective snow cover, placing them in a vulnerable posture for damage in the event of a cold wave.

STILL DRY IN AUSTRALIA

Australia's forecast remains very dry. No appreciable rain is indicated to ease the continent's historic drought.

VARIABLE SOUTH AFRICA CONDITIONS

In South Africa, north and east crop areas continue with a dry and hot forecast in the 10-day period, indicating a stressful pattern for crops. Southwestern areas have more showers and better crop conditions.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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