Commodities Market Impact Weather

Central US Rain and Snow Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A large storm system brewing for the central United States, and dry conditions forming in southern Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Thursday.

WEEKEND STORM FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for the Midwest to have a stormy weekend. Moderate to heavy rain and some snow are in store Friday night through Sunday. This storm will cause transportation delays and will also disrupt any late harvest in northwestern areas.

FAVORABLE MOISTURE FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, a large storm system from the southwestern U.S. is in line to produce moderate to locally heavy precipitation, with above normal temperatures, during the next few days. The moisture will be beneficial for winter wheat. There is also some risk for snow and some wind in livestock areas. However, due to limited cold conditions, this is not expected to be a major concern.

NORTHERN PLAINS SNOWSTORM

Moderate to heavy snow is in store for the Northern Plains, notably in eastern sectors, during the coming weekend. The snow will be stressful to livestock along with disrupting late corn harvest and hindering transportation.

SOUTHERN BRAZIL DRY SPELL

Across Brazil, a hot and dry period in the southern state of Rio Grande do Sul will dry out soils and cause some crop stress over the next week. This will need to be watched, due to soils in Rio Grande do Sul being prone to dry quickly; also, at this time of year, flash drought is possible. Farther north, crop areas of Parana, Mato Grosso and Goias have more favorable conditions, although even in these areas more rain and milder weather would be more beneficial for crops.

ARGENTINA SHOWER WATCH

Argentina's central crop areas have moderate to heavy rain, including some flood threat, in store during the next week. Southwestern crop areas of southern Buenos Aires and La Pampa have light to locally moderate rain indicated. This sector remains in need of additional rainfall.

SHOWERS FOR BLACK SEA REGION

The Black Sea region continues to be in line for rain through Ukraine and western Russia. Warm weather means that the rain will have high infiltration into the soil profile, thus being beneficial for winter wheat.

NO AUSTRALIA DROUGHT RELIEF

No appreciable rain is indicated in Australia's forecast to offer meaningful easing of the continent's historic drought.

VARIABLE SOUTH AFRICA TEMPERATURES

In South Africa, north and east crop areas have dry and hot conditions in the 10-day forecast, indicating a stressful pattern for crops. Southwestern areas have more showers and better crop conditions.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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