Commodities Market Impact Weather

Continued Harvest Delays

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Continued harvest delays in the central U.S., and dryness concerns in Argentina, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

MORE MIDWEST HARVEST DELAYS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for wet and snow-covered fields in the Midwest to continue slowing the already-late harvest of corn and soybeans. Areas north of Interstate 90 are the most extensively delayed, notably in Michigan and Wisconsin. Some corn may be left in the fields until spring. Any soybeans remaining in the fields may be lost. A drier trend in western and northern areas in the next seven days will offer some improvement.

STRANDED NORTHERN PLAINS HARVEST

In the Northern Plains, moderate to heavy snow cover from the Thanksgiving holiday blizzard mean that additional row crop harvest this week is unlikely. Dry conditions in the next week to 10 days will help melt snow cover. A new round of Arctic cold is in store during the next five to seven days.

DRYNESS IN SOUTHWESTERN PLAINS

Southern Plains winter wheat conditions are lower than a week ago, mainly due to dryness in the southwestern Plains. Mild weather and limited precipitation are in store through the next five days. A new round of Arctic cold in the Northern Plains over the next five to seven days will bear close watching for possible tracking southward.

RAIN AHEAD FOR BRAZIL

Brazil crop areas continue to have prospects for moderate to heavy rain in the next week. Rainfall is especially needed in south-central, eastern and northeastern crop areas, where soil moisture supply is the lowest.

ARGENTINA DRYNESS WATCH

Drier conditions in the Argentina 10-day forecast will bear close attention. Some crop areas have not received much rainfall recently. Soil moisture amounts are especially low in western Buenos Aires and La Pampa, in the southwestern sector of the primary Argentina crop region.

MINIMAL AUSTRALIA RAIN

Australia crop areas have very little rain in store through the next 10 days. Wheat production is now estimated at the lowest level in the past 12 years.

POSSIBLE SOUTH AFRICA SHOWERS

South Africa crop areas are in a hot and dry pattern. The forecast offers increasing showers and lower temperatures during the last half of the week. This will be closely watched for easing of crop stress cause by the heat and dryness of the past week.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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