DTN Ag Weather Brief

DTN Ag Weather Brief

Mike Palmerino
By  Mike Palmerino , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
NATIONAL TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL EXTREMES:

HIGH MON...98 AT ANAHEIM CA

LOW MON..-1 AT PIKES PEAK CO

24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 7 PM YESTERDAY…LITTLE ROCK AR 2.24 INCHES

US OUTLOOK AND MODEL DISCUSSION 6-10 DAY PERIOD:

The US and European models are in fair-poor agreement during the outlook period. We are going with the European model. The large scale pattern will feature a trough extending from the Rockies to the Midwest. And a ridge over the eastern US and western atlantic. The central US will be in the boundary zone between these two features which implies an active precipitation pattern.

Temperatures will be cooler the further to the west you are in the central US, milder the further to the east.

MAJOR WORLD HIGHLIGHTS/IMPACT:

MIDWEST (CORN, SOYBEANS): Unfavorably wet weather for maturing and harvesting corn and soybeans is expected to continue.

NORTHERN PLAINS: Unfavorably wet weather for maturing and harvesting corn and soybeans continues. Some harvest losses due to snow and strong winds are expected.

CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS: Mostly favorable conditions for prewinter development of wheat. Some beneficial precipitation is expected during the 6-10 day period.

BRAZIL (Soybeans): Some beneficial rain and cooler temperatures in Mato Grosso and Parana at this time for planting and developing soybeans.

ARGENTINA (CORN): More rain would benefit corn planting is some areas of central Argentina.

CANADIAN PRAIRIES (WHEAT/CANOLA/BARLEY): Drier weather in Alberta and Saskatchewan favors the canola and wheat harvests. However overall progress remains behind normal by 20 points in Alberta and nearly 30 points in Saskatchewan. Heavy rain/snow in Manitoba last week is unfavorable for the remaining harvest.

AUSTRALIA (WINTER WHEAT/SORGHUM/COTTON): Variable moisture conditions for winter wheat in West Australia. Reduced moisture supplies for reproductive winter wheat in South Australia and northern Victoria. More rain will be needed in the next few weeks to maintain current yield prospects. Scattered showers in New South Wales and Queensland came too late to benefit the wheat crop.

EXPANDED SUMMARIES FORECASTS:

Midwest (corn, soybean and winter wheat)

Summary:

West: Moderate to heavy rain over Minnesota and northern Iowa. Light rain elsewhere. Temperatures variable.

East: Scattered light to moderate showers and thunderstorms with locally heavier. Temperatures above to much above normal.

Forecast:

West: Mostly dry weather Tuesday. Dry conditions or just some light precipitation in the north Wednesday. Chance of rain in Missouri Thursday, dry elsewhere. Dry Friday. Episodes of scattered showers and thunderstorms later Saturday through Monday. Temperatures near to below normal Tuesday, variable Wednesday, below normal Thursday, variable Friday, near to above normal Saturday, variable Sunday-Monday.

East: Dry conditions or just a little light rain in the north Tuesday. Dry weather Wednesday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms develop on Thursday ending on Friday. Dry weather Saturday. Episodes of scattered showers and thunderstorms Sunday-Monday. Temperatures near to above normal Tuesday-Wednesday, variable Thursday, near to above normal Friday, above normal Saturday-Sunday, near to above normal Monday.

6 to 10 day outlook: Temperatures variable. Precipitation near to above normal.

Northern Plains (Corn, Soybeans, Spring Wheat)

Summary: Light rain over eastern areas. Mostly dry central and west.

Temperatures near to below normal.

Forecast: Dry weather Tuesday. Dry conditions or just a little light precipitation Wednesday. Dry weather Thursday-Friday. Chance of rain or some mixed precipitation Saturday. Dry conditions or just a little light precipitation Sunday-Monday. Temperatures near to below normal Tuesday, below normal Wednesday, near to below normal Thursday, above normal Friday, near to above normal Saturday, below normal Sunday-Monday.

6 to 10 day outlook: Temperatures near to below normal. Precipitation near to below normal.

Central and Southern Plains (Winter Wheat/livestock)

Summary: Dry conditions. Temperatures near to below normal.

Forecast: Dry through Wednesday. Chance of some light rain Thursday. Dry weather Friday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday. Mostly dry weather Sunday. Chance of rain or some mixed precipitation in the northwest Monday. Temperatures variable Tuesday, near to above normal Wednesday, below normal Thursday, near to below normal Friday, variable Saturday-Monday.

6-10 Day Outlook: Temperatures variable. Precipitation near to above normal.

Brazil Soybeans…

Rio Grande do Sul and Parana…

Dry conditions or just a few light showers. Temperatures near to below normal.

Forecast…

Mostly dry weather through Friday. Dry conditions or just a few light showers Saturday. Scattered moderate to heavy showers and thunderstorms Sunday.

Scattered light showers Monday. Temperatures near to below normal through Thursday, near to above normal Friday, above normal Saturday, variable Sunday, near to below normal Monday.

Mato Grosso…

Scattered moderate to heavy showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures variable.

Forecast…

Scattered light showers Tuesday. Dry conditions or just a few light showers with locally heavier Wednesday-Thursday. Episodes of scattered light showers with locally heavier Friday-Saturday. Dry conditions or just a few light showers with locally heavier Sunday-Monday. Temperatures near to below normal Tuesday-Wednesday, near to above normal Thursday, above normal Friday-Monday.

Argentina Corn and Soybeans…

Dry conditions. Temperatures near to below normal.

Forecast…

Dry conditions or just a few light showers Tuesday. Dry weather Wednesday.

Dry conditions or just a few light showers Thursday-Friday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday. Dry conditions or just a few light showers Sunday.

Dry conditions or just a few light showers Monday. Temperatures near to below normal through Wednesday, near to above normal Thursday-Saturday, near to below normal Sunday-Monday.

Mike Palmerino can be reached at michael.palmerino@dtn.com

DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist

(BAS)

Mike Palmerino