Commodities Market Impact Weather

Favorable Temperature Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A continued lack of freezing level temperatures in the central U.S. forecast, and ongoing dry conditions in central Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

FREEZE-FREE MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for the Midwest to have above- to much-above-normal temperatures during the next 10 days. This trend will favor crop progress, which remains well behind average in many areas. Heavy rains through northwest and north-central areas has caused flooding and crop damage. A drying trend begins Friday and continues through the next five days.

MILD IN NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, mild and drier conditions through the next five days will allow for floodwater receding. No freeze is indicated in the forecast. Crop progress is still well behind average.

MOSTLY DRY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, above- to much-above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall during the next 10 days will deplete soil moisture for winter wheat planting. Areas of southeast Kansas and northeast, central and southwest Oklahoma will benefit from rainfall Thursday, but more widespread rain is needed.

DELAYED PRAIRIES PROGRESS

In the Canadian Prairies, cool and wet conditions will be unfavorable for maturing crops and early harvest, especially through south-central and east areas. There is no significant freeze during the next 10 days. However, a near-normal temperature pattern will still mean some low temperatures will dip into the 30s Fahrenheit

CENTRAL BRAZIL HEAT AND DRYNESS

Most primary crop areas in Brazil will be dry and hot through the next week. This pattern will hinder the onset of soybean planting, which by law can begin Sept. 15.

EUROPE DRYNESS

In Europe, dryness remains of concern in west and central Europe for planting and early development of winter grains and oilseeds. The highest risk to crops appears to be in France, Belgium and parts of western Germany. Dryness is also of some concern in southeast Europe, due to a recent stretch of below normal rainfall.

VARIABLE BLACK SEA CONDITIONS

In the Black Sea region, western and northern Ukraine have dryness concerns following several weeks of dry conditions. South and east Ukraine through southern Russia have showers and generally more favorable conditions for the new winter wheat seeding.

INDIA FLOODING

Monsoon rain remains moderate to heavy through the weekend for west-central and northern India crop regions. Heavy rain will cause some flooding.

MINIMAL AUSTRALIA RAIN

Australia wheat areas have only spotty rain in the forecast. Dry and hot conditions are leading to reduced wheat crop prospects.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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