Commodities Market Impact Weather

Mixed Midwest Rain Prospect

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A variable chance for rain in the drier eastern Midwest, and very cool conditions in the Canadian Prairies, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

MIDWEST RAIN QUESTIONS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for periods of rain to cross the Midwest during the coming weekend. Moderate-to-locally-heavy amounts are indicated for the western and northern Midwest, with mostly light-to-moderate totals in the south and east areas of the region. Recently dry areas of the southern and eastern Midwest may see only minor benefit for crops. Temperature conditions will be highly variable; cool north and very warm south.

VERY COOL IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Northern Plains' crop areas will have very low temperatures through the weekend. This cool pattern will keep crop progress slow, and may also interfere with spring wheat harvest. Spring wheat harvest is already well behind the average pace.

POSSIBLE PRAIRIES FROST

Canadian Prairies crop development remains behind normal, with crops vulnerable to frost potential. Temperatures averaging below normal during the next few days will further slow development of crops. There is even a slight risk for some frost in central and north Alberta, as temperatures may dip into the 30s Fahrenheit this weekend. The highest risk is in the Peace River area.

FAVORABLE BLACK SEA PATTERN

In the Black Sea region, Russia and Ukraine saw heat early in the week, with temperatures reaching into the 90s Fahrenheit. This heat has been moving east and south at the end of this week. No significant crop stress is expected.

POSSIBLE AUSTRALIA COLD SNAP

In eastern Australia, wheat approaching reproduction in northern New South Wales and southern Queensland needs significant rain to prevent further declines in an already poor wheat crop. The chance for this rain to occur remains low during the next 10 days. In addition there is at least some risk for unusual late-winter cold weather in this area next week. This will need to be watched as flowering wheat could be hurt if temperatures fall to 32 F.

ADDITIONAL INDIA MONSOON RAIN

Widespread monsoon rain continues to favor developing oilseeds and cotton in west-central India. Also, key winter grain and oilseed areas of northwest India have had significant rain this week. This helps to build irrigation for this fall-planted crop.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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