Commodities Market Impact Weather

Midwest Dryness Concern

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Warmth and dryness in the Midwest, and stressful heat in Europe, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

DRIER MIDWEST TREND

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a drier trend in the Midwest, along with seasonal to above normal temperatures, during the next week to 10 days. This combination is a concern for possible stress to pollinating corn and flowering soybeans in this late-development season. Soils in much of the Midwest have had substantial drying since the end of June.

HOT SOUTHERN PLAINS FORECAST

In the Southern Plains, a turn to very hot weather is indicated by the start of the coming weekend, and lasting through the entire six-to-10-day period. This combination will be stressful to row crops, with irrigation usage likely to be extensive through the first week of August.

FAVORABLE NORTHERN PLAINS PATTERN

Northern Plains' crop areas continue with a beneficial combination of seasonal temperatures and periods of rain for crop development. The region's crops continue to be late in developing due to the delayed planting season.

MIXED PRAIRIES RAIN FORECAST

Canadian Prairies' crop areas have a mixed rain pattern forecast through the next week. Northern areas will have moderate-to-heavy totals, while southern sectors receive much lighter amounts. Very little rain is indicated for the southwestern sector of the region.

ANOTHER EUROPE HEAT WAVE

Most crop areas in Europe have another extreme heat wave. Major crop areas in France experienced high temperatures Tuesday of 100-105 degrees Fahrenheit through western and southern France, with upper 90s F in northeast France. High temperatures Wednesday and Thursday are expected to exceed 100 F through most of France, Belgium and western Germany. Impact to corn, sunflower and sugar beets appears very likely. Temperatures moderate between Friday and Sunday with some showers and thundershowers. However, it is unlikely that these showers will offset the impact from two historic heat events in Western Europe this summer.

SHOWERS FOR BLACK SEA REGION

In the Black Sea region, corn and sunflower crops in south and east Ukraine through west and south Russia continue to have a beneficial forecast of periodic showers and a variable temperature pattern during the next 10 days.

MILDER VOLGA OUTLOOK

In eastern Russia crop areas through Kazakhstan, the forecast continues to indicate variable temperatures during the next week or more. There is no sign of a redeveloping heat wave.

EXPANDING INDIA MONSOON RAIN

Western and north-central India crop areas have additional moderate-to-heavy monsoon rain forecast through the end of the week. This will improve soil moisture for crops following a slow start to the monsoon rains.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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