Commodities Market Impact Weather

Favorable 90-Day Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Cooler six-to-10-day Midwest conditions, and a favorable 90-day forecast for finishing crops, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Thursday.

COOLER 10-DAY MIDWEST FORECAST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for an intense heat wave in the Midwest through Saturday. The pattern turns cooler in the six-to-10-day time frame, which will be more favorable for crops. Shower and thunderstorm activity has also been wider in coverage than indicated earlier in the week.

FAVORABLE 90-DAY FORECAST

Updated forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) suggest near to above normal temperatures for the central U.S. during the August-September-October time frame. This indicates favorable conditions for crops in this delayed season, notably a low probability of an early freeze.

BRIEF DRIER PERIOD IN DELTA

The Delta has a brief round of drier conditions through the end of the week. A cold front moves into the region in the five-to-seven-day period, bringing a threat of more thunderstorms with possibly heavy rain. The rain will add to significant flooding already in effect.

LATE-WEEK SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAT

In the Southern Plains, hot and dry conditions remain through the end of the week. This pattern will favor continued wheat harvest progress. Row crops will have some stressful conditions, with irrigation needed to sustain crops. The five-to-seven-day forecast offers lower temperatures and thunderstorm development.

BENEFICIAL NORTHERN PLAINS TREND

Northern Plains' crop areas continue with a beneficial combination of seasonal temperatures and periods of rain for crop development.

MIXED PRAIRIES FORECAST

Canadian Prairies crop areas again have lower temperatures and showers forecast during the next five days, followed by a warmer and drier pattern in the six-to-10-day period. The general trend is more favorable for crops.

ADDITIONAL FRANCE DRYNESS

In Western Europe, major growing areas in France are expected to see dry and very warm-to-hot conditions through the next week. This trend will again be stressful to developing crops. Lower temperatures along with a higher chance for showers are indicated in the longer-range forecast.

CONTINUED RUSSIA SHOWERS

In the Black Sea region, corn and sunflower crops in south and east Ukraine, west and south Russia continue to benefit from periodic showers and a variable temperature pattern during the next 10 days. The region has recently been running at below normal temperature levels.

LIMITED INDIA MONSOON RAIN

Western India crop areas have only limited monsoon rain forecast during the next week. Monsoon rains continue to be erratic.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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