Commodities Market Impact Weather

Hottest Week of the Year Ahead

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A hot and stressful five-day period in the Midwest, and a dry week for Southern Plains wheat harvest, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

VARIABLE MIDWEST HEAT PROSPECT

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for highest temperatures of the season in the Midwest over the next five days. The best chance for rainfall will be in the northern Midwest. Heat index values are expected to surpass 100 degrees Fahrenheit in many locales. This combination will be stressful to pollinating corn and developing soybeans, along with causing livestock and human stress. The 10-day time frame shows more seasonal temperatures. However, western and central Midwest areas have very little precipitation indicated. Soil moisture reserves will be employed to allow crops to maintain their condition ahead of the main corn pollination segment for this season.

MORE DELTA RAIN

Tropical Depression Barry will continue producing moderate to heavy rain in the Delta through Tuesday. Flooding will be widespread, adding to already heavy rain in the region from the system during the past five days.

HOT AND DRY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

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In the Southern Plains, warm to hot weather and little to no rain will favor wheat harvest during this week. Row crops will have some stressful conditions, with irrigation needed to sustain crop progress.

SHORT-TERM NORTHERN PLAINS HEAT

Northern Plains crop areas have hot conditions in store Monday. The pattern turns slightly cooler over the remainder of the week. In general, conditions are favorable for crops. Showers will accompany the cooling trend.

MIXED PRAIRIES RAINFALL

In the Canadian Prairies, northern and eastern will benefit from periodic showers and a variable temperature pattern during this week. Southwest crop areas will have light showers, notably less than other sectors.

VARIABLE EUROPE RAINFALL

Central and eastern Europe crop areas had periods of beneficial rain over the past weekend. France remained dry. Dryness remains a significant risk to crops in France.

MILD RUSSIA FORECAST

In the Black Sea region, Russia and Ukraine remain in line for lower temperatures and light-to-moderate rain through the next five days.

WEAK INDIA MONSOON

A trend towards dry, hotter weather is expected to continue during this week in key growing areas of west-central India. The 2019 monsoon season continues to be weaker than normal.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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