Commodities Market Impact Weather

Catching Up In Midwest

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Mostly beneficial Midwest conditions, and milder temperatures with showers forecast for the Black Sea region, are key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

FAVORABLE MIDWEST PATTERN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for mostly favorable conditions to continue in the Midwest through the next week. Crops should benefit from warm but not hot conditions, which should allow for improvement in development. Temperatures will be highest in south and east areas. There will be local flood risk caused by locally heavy thunderstorms in northwest areas.

VARIABLE SOUTHERN PLAINS STORMS

In the southern Plains, thunderstorms may occur, at times, in areas that may be trying to harvest wheat during the short range period; however, activity does not look significant enough to produce widespread harvest disruption. Slightly cooler temperatures and periods of showers will be favorable for row crop progress.

BENEFICIAL NORTHERN PLAINS TREND

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Northern Plains conditions are favorable for developing corn, soybeans and spring wheat. Cooler weather is likely during the five-day period with some moderation during the 6-to-10-day period. Periodic thundershowers will mostly favor developing crops, except in areas of local flooding due to heavy thunderstorms.

VARIABLE PRAIRIES RAIN

Canadian Prairies crop areas have a variable rain pattern in store over the next week. Western areas are in line for moderate to heavy amounts, with central and eastern areas having lighter totals. Conditions will be cooler as well. Crop conditions are notably improved following recent rains.

EASING OF EUROPE HEAT

Across Europe, western and southern France will continue to see warm to hot temperatures for a few more days but not as hot as early this week. After that cooler. North and east areas of Europe should be cooler during the next few days, with eastern Europe likely to be much cooler. Rainfall chances are rather limited for the France to Germany area. This suggests continued stressful conditions for corn, sunflower and sugar beets in these locations. Heavier rain is forecast for eastern Europe and in England during the period, with more favorable conditions for crops as the temperatures cool.

COOLER PATTERN FOR RUSSIA

In the Black Sea region, Russia and Ukraine temperatures are expected to be cooler during the next week to ten days. Rainfall chances increase somewhat as well, especially in eastern Ukraine and the Black Soils region, but possibly in southern Ukraine and south Russia as well. Improving conditions for sunflower and corn if this forecast verifies.

ADVANCING INDIA MONSOON RAIN

India monsoon rain continues to slowly improve and push toward northwest India. Significant rains have recently arrived over the key growing areas in Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra. Regular rains has yet to reach into Gujarat but may soon. Also, north-central India may see increasing rainfall soon as well.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

(CZ)

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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