Commodities Market Impact Weather

Warmer Temperature Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Continued forecasts for warmer temperatures in the Midwest, and a much-needed drier trend for Southern Plains wheat harvest, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

WARM-UP FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast again features a turn to warmer and drier conditions over the Midwest during the next week to 10 days. This pattern change will be beneficial for crop development. Row crops are starting out with the lowest ratings since the hot-and-dry year of 2012. In addition, the rain-delayed start to the season means that corn pollination and soybean flowering are not likely to begin until late July. Warmer and drier conditions are also needed for winter wheat harvest progress.

WARMER SOUTHERN PLAINS FORECAST

In the Southern Plains, winter wheat harvest has been notably delayed by periods of moderate-to-heavy rain. Harvest is several weeks behind average in the region. A much-warmer-and-drier pattern is forecast through the next week, which will be very welcome for harvest progress. This warmer-and-drier combination is also beneficial for row-crop development.

SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN AREAS

In the Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies, periods of rain and more seasonal temperatures continue to be featured in the forecast this week. And interior North America pattern change moves the storm track into the northern areas, offering the increased prospect for rainfall.

MORE EUROPE HEAT

Western Europe crop areas continue with a stressful heat wave. Temperatures are forecast to reach the mid to upper 90s Fahrenheit, some 20 degrees F above normal. This is stressful for ripening wheat. Summer corn, sunflower, sugar beet, and rapeseed crops will also be stressed by this intense heat.

CONTINUED RUSSIA SHOWER FORECAST

Russia and Ukraine crop areas again have scattered showers and cooler temperatures indicated this week. This will be favorable for crops following a hot-and-dry trend over the past week to 10 days.

SCATTERED INDIA MONSOON RAIN

India monsoon rain continues to form, but is a week to 10 days late compared to average. Monsoon-related rain is occurring in southern India crop areas. West-central crop areas have only scattered rain indicated through the next week.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

(CZ)

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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