Commodities Market Impact Weather

Lighter Midwest Rain Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A pattern change to less Midwest precipitation, and heavy rain causing quality loss in Plains wheat, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Thursday.

LIGHTER MIDWEST RAIN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for Midwest showers during the next week to bring light precipitation to the region. This easing of very wet conditions will offer some planting opportunity. However, row-crop planting is at historic low progress. Some acreage will likely not get planted.

VARIABLE NORTHERN PLAINS TREND

In the Northern Plains, seasonal to above-normal temperatures and lighter precipitation will improve planting and crop conditions during the next week. Greatest benefit will be in North Dakota.

HEAVY SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

In the Southern Plains, wet conditions remain in the forecast. The rain will increase disease pressure on wheat. Excessive rains and damaging hail and winds may mean losses to wheat, especially in hardest-hit areas of Oklahoma where wheat is maturing. Wet conditions will affect the early harvest. Quality issues can be expected. Recent low temperatures may have caused some problems for wheat in Colorado. Rain delays and disrupts planting of row crops as well.

STRESSFUL SOUTHEAST DRYNESS

In the Southeastern U.S., hot and dry conditions remain in the forecast through the next week. This pattern is stressful to developing crops, especially early reproductive crops. Reports suggest a slowdown in planting due to dryness has occurred. A somewhat weaker ridge in the longer range may allow for less hot, dry weather but this is uncertain.

DRY AND WARM IN PRAIRIES

The Canadian Prairies continue with a warm and dry forecast through the next week. The warmer conditions will be better for crop germination. However, extensive dryness is a concern.

BENEFICIAL BRAZIL CONDITIONS

Across Brazil safrinha corn areas, seasonal temperatures and favorable soil moisture supplies are beneficial for finishing crops and harvest.

WARM AND DRY IN SOUTH RUSSIA

In the Black Sea region, the pattern continues to be very warm and dry over eastern Ukraine through southern Russia during the next week. Potential for dryness developing will bear watching.

MORE EASTERN AUSTRALIA DRYNESS

In eastern Australia wheat areas, New South Wales and southern Queensland look to continue dry during the next 10 days.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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