Commodities Market Impact Weather

Heavy Western Midwest Rain

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Rain and possible flooding for the western Midwest and Plains, and lighter precipitation for the eastern Midwest, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

FLOODING WESTERN MIDWEST RAIN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for heavy rain in the western Midwest through the weekend and much of next week. Planting slows and comes to a halt in much of this area. Flooding is a concern, especially in fields already subjected to flooding this spring.

LIGHTER EASTERN MIDWEST RAIN

In the eastern Midwest, light-to-moderate rain is indicated through the next week. This will allow some better chance for spring fieldwork and planting progress.

WET IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Episodes of rain, showers and lower temperatures will mean increasing delays to spring planting in the Northern Plains during the weekend and through early next week.

SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

The Southern Plains has moderate-to-heavy rain indicated in the next seven days. Flooding is possible if heavy rain amounts verify in central and eastern Kansas. The rain will disrupt row crop fieldwork. In addition, the rain and accompanying lower temperatures will be unfavorable for developing winter wheat.

DRIER DELTA TREND

The Delta has a mainly drier and warmer pattern in store. Crop conditions are mainly favorable conditions for early planted crops, except in fields that may still be too wet due to prior heavy rains and areas near the river that are also flooding.

LIGHT PRAIRIES SHOWERS

The Canadian Prairies have no significant rainfall in the forecast through the next seven days. Dry conditions are concerning for crop development.

FAVORABLE WEEKEND IN BRAZIL

Across Brazil, safrinha corn areas continue with a late-season drier trend; however, soil moisture is favorable for filling crops. The drier conditions are favorable for harvest. Southern Brazil will be drier, allowing improved harvest conditions after recent heavy rain.

DRY FOR ARGENTINA HARVEST

In Argentina, dry conditions through the weekend will favor the harvest. Light rain will occur later in the weekend, but does not look too much of a concern. Heavier rains may occur in the Cordoba and Santa Fe area early next week.

NORTHEAST CHINA RAIN

In northeast China, a major rain event appears likely for this region during the weekend. This will provide adequate-to-surplus soil moisture in key growing areas for corn and soybeans, but it will also delay and halt planting of these crops.

VARIABLE CENTRAL CHINA CONDITIONS

The North China Plain remains caught between the heavy rain potential to its north and the building monsoon rainfall to the south. This leads to a period of drier, sometimes hotter, weather. Filling wheat and maturing rapeseed have adequate soil moisture and irrigation so there is little concern for crops. Drier weather favors planting of corn, soybeans, rice and cotton, but also depletes available soil moisture.

MINIMAL AUSTRALIA RAIN

Across Australia, the best chance for needed rain to occur is over south-central and southeast Australia during the next 10 days. The overall pattern is not offering significant follow-up rainfall for most wheat areas.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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