Commodities Market Impact Weather

Still Wet in Midwest

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- More rain for the Midwest, and persistent chilly conditions in the Northern Plains, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Thursday.

RAIN AGAIN FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for repeated wet conditions in the Midwest to continue disrupting fieldwork and corn planting through the next 10 days. Temperatures will be low for the season as well in most areas, adding to the disruptive situation. Flash flooding and river flooding will cause additional damage and extensive transportation delays.

NORTHERN PLAINS CHILL

In the Northern Plains, a cold and unsettled pattern will continue to disrupt spring wheat and corn planting during the next five days. Drier but still very cool conditions are indicated during the six- to ten-day period. Planting progress will likely remain slow due to a combination of wet field conditions and cold soil temperatures.

SOUTHERN PLAINS SHOWERS

In the Southern Plains, a steady diet of scattered thunderstorms will maintain adequate-to-surplus soil moisture for spring crops in the region, along with causing some planting delays. Soil moisture for winter wheat remains well-supplied; however, cool weather will slow the rate of development.

RAIN RETURNS TO DELTA

In the Delta, dry and warm conditions early this week were favorable for planting. The region will see scattered showers and thundershowers during the next week, causing increased delays to fieldwork.

COLD IN PRAIRIES

In the Canadian Prairies, cold weather and in some areas recent snow will limit fieldwork this week. Precipitation may help improve soil moisture somewhat during the next week. The pattern will be drier during the six- to 10-day period, but temperatures will still be low for the season. Early planting progress is likely to be slow due to a number of concerns, including dryness in some areas, wet conditions in some locations and low soil temperatures in many locations.

STILL FAVORABLE IN CENTRAL BRAZIL

Central Brazil will have scattered showers continuing in key growing areas for second-crop corn (safrinha). This favors the filling crop.

SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA

Central Argentina crop areas have increased showers in the forecast through the end of the week. The rain will cause some delays in row crop harvest, but will not be excessively damaging.

PERIODIC BLACK SEA SHOWERS

Black Sea region crop-producing areas have more rainfall during the 10-day period, maintaining favorable growing conditions for winter grains and providing favorable moisture for planting spring grains and oilseeds.

RAIN FOR EASTERN AUSTRALIA

In Australia, rain occurred in southern South Australia, Victoria and western New South Wales this week. Heaviest rainfall was noted in southwest South Australia and in Victoria. Rain will move through New South Wales and into southern Queensland through Friday. This rain will provide a welcome boost to soil moisture as the winter wheat planting season gets underway. However, more rain will still be needed. No significant rainfall is being forecasted for the Western Australia wheat areas during the next 10 days.

INDIA CYCLONE

Tropical cyclone Fani is expected to track through northeast India and Bangladesh during the 24 to 72 hours. It is likely to cause severe damage due to high winds, severe flooding, mudslides and a coastal storm surge. There's an extreme risk to lives and property in the area. Early planted summer crops and late-developing winter crops are also at risk.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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