Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- A mixed outlook for fieldwork and planting in the Midwest, and periods of heavy rain in Brazil and Argentina, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

VARIABLE PLANTING CONDITIONS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for variable conditions for fieldwork and planting in the Midwest during this week. The northern third of the region has moderate-to-locally-heavy rainfall indicated, with disruptions to fieldwork and planting. Elsewhere in the region, light-to-moderate rain and mild weather will offer better prospects for progress.

VARIABLE IN NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, a few days of drier conditions will be followed by an increase in showers during the six- to 10-day period. Fieldwork will generally continue to be late in progress.

RAIN FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

A stormy week is ahead for the Southern Plains. Texas and Oklahoma wheat areas are likely to see locally heavy rainfall and severe weather through Wednesday.

VARIABLE DELTA FORECAST

The Delta and southeastern U.S. had heavy rain during the past weekend, notably Thursday and Friday. More rain is expected later this week as well. The eight- to 14-day forecast is drier, which will offer an improved fieldwork and planting situation.

SOUTHERN BRAZIL THUNDERSTORMS

In southern Brazil, thunderstorms with heavy rain occurred during the weekend from Rio Grande do Sul northward through Parana and into Mato Grosso do Sul. This likely affects the soybean harvest, especially in Rio Grande do Sul. Some storm damage may have also occurred in the second-crop (safrinha) corn areas of south-central Brazil. Areas further north have a more favorable pattern.

NORTHERN ARGENTINA RAIN

Northern Argentina and Paraguay had some heavy rain over the past weekend. This is likely to have affected the harvest of soybeans and cotton. Some losses to unharvested cotton appears likely. There are no significant concerns, at this time, for mature crops or harvesting in major growing areas of Cordoba, Santa Fe or Buenos Aires.

BENEFICIAL BLACK SEA MOISTURE

Across the Black Sea region, moderate-to-locally-heavy rain occurred through much of Ukraine last week. This eased concerns for crops in the area. Drier weather is again likely during the next week.

NORTHEAST CHINA RAIN

In northeast China, key soybean areas in Heilongjiang saw moderate precipitation last week. This will help recharge soil moisture for planting soybeans next month.

LIGHT EASTERN AUSTRALIA RAIN

In eastern Australia, portions of New South Wales had showers during the past weekend. However, the overall rain pattern for major wheat areas looks to be minimal during the next week to 10 days.

HEAVY SOUTH AFRICA RAIN

South Africa crop areas had another late-season round of moderate-to-heavy rain and thunderstorms during the weekend. The rain may cause some disruption to maize and sugarcane.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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