Commodities Market Impact Weather

Stormy Pattern Continues for Midwest, Delta in Extended Outlook

Elaine Shein
By  Elaine Shein , DTN/Progressive Farmer Associate Content Manager
Connect with Elaine:

OMAHA (DTN) -- Fieldwork delays and flooding concerns after this week's blizzard and major storm in Midwest and Plains, two more storms within the next 10 days affecting the Midwest and Delta, and favorable conditions for Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

IMPACT ON TRAVEL, TRANSPORT, LIVESTOCK

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for snow and wind to linger today in the northeast Plains region, while most of the north-central region is drier. Deep snow cover and well-below-normal temperatures will maintain high stress levels for livestock in the affected areas for a few more days. Travel and transport is likely to slowly improve during the weekend.

PRECIPITATION SLOWS MIDWEST FIELDWORK

For the Midwest, the current system is winding down today. A new rain event is expected to affect the south and east Midwest this weekend with yet another system during the middle of next week. Above-normal, and in some cases well-above normal, precipitation will maintain conditions too wet for seasonal fieldwork to begin. Lower temperatures, especially in the west, will slow the drying process for a few more days. It will be warmer early next week and then cooler again late in the week.

P[L1] D[0x0] M[300x250] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]

HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Heavy snow, 12-24 inches, in the South Dakota crop areas during this week will maintain surplus soil moisture. Moderate-to-heavy snow reached to southeast North Dakota with light-to-moderate snow farther north as well. The crest along the Red River is continuing to move northward over eastern North Dakota and is likely to reach into Manitoba next week or early in the following week. Snow in the Fargo area is likely to cause a new crest to occur when it melts, following the current crest, but indications are that this new crest will not be as high as the current crest.

WEEKEND SHOWERS/THUNDERSHOWERS IN CENTRAL PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, there's improving conditions for livestock in northeast Colorado and northwest Kansas as it appears that the blizzard was not as bad as expected in these locations. There's adequate soil moisture for developing winter wheat. Southern areas will see moderate-to-heavy showers and thundershowers this weekend that will maintain favorable moisture for wheat. Colder weather will slow development for a time this weekend, and then again late next week; early in the week, warmer weather will be more favorable for wheat.

WEEKEND RAIN, SEVERE WEATHER IN DELTA

Moderate-to-heavy rain or showers and thunderstorms are seen for the Delta region this weekend and again during the middle of next week. There is some risk for severe weather as well. The region has mostly surplus soil moisture with a significant risk of severe flooding. Delays to seasonal fieldwork appear likely.

MOSTLY FAVORABLE FOR BRAZIL

For Brazil, recent and forecast showers in the Mato Grosso, Goias and Minas Gerais areas will favor development of second-crop corn and late development of sugarcane and coffee. Drier weather from Parana southward to Rio Grande do Sul favors the harvest of soybeans.

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS IN ARGENTINA

Argentina's key soybean and corn areas are expecting showers and possibly a few thundershowers to occur in the region a couple of times during the seven-day period, once this weekend and again late next week. This may cause some delay to the harvests for corn, sunflower and soybeans, but nothing major is expected. Rainfall will help to recharge soil moisture as we approach the planting season for winter wheat in the region.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

(AG)

P[L2] D[728x90] M[320x50] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]
P[R1] D[300x250] M[300x250] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]
P[R2] D[300x250] M[320x50] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]
DIM[1x3] LBL[] SEL[] IDX[] TMPL[standalone] T[]
P[R3] D[300x250] M[0x0] OOP[F] ADUNIT[] T[]

Elaine Shein

Elaine Shein
Connect with Elaine: