DTN Market Impact Weather

Rain in Northern and Western Midwest Affects Harvest

Elaine Shein
By  Elaine Shein , DTN/Progressive Farmer Associate Content Manager
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Rain in the northern and western Midwest affecting the harvest, beneficial soil moisture for the Central and Southern Plains, and additional showers in central Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Thursday.

MODERATE TO HEAVY WESTERN MIDWEST RAIN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for increasing coverage of moderate and heavy rain at the end of this week through to the middle part of next week. This will delay and disrupt the harvest and will be highly unfavorable for maturing crops in the western and north-central Midwest region. A more favorable weather pattern for harvesting is seen for the east and south areas of the Midwest during this period.

SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

Southern Plains areas has favorable conditions for planting and developing winter wheat at this time. Rain at the end of this week through early next week will provide for adequate to surplus soil moisture for prewinter development, but it may also lead to planting delays.

COLD, UNSETTLED WEATHER IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Across the Northern Plains, cold, unsettled weather is unfavorable for maturing crops and harvesting. This unsettled weather pattern is expected to continue during the next five to seven days. This might mean snow in some cases.

DRY AND WARM IN DELTA

The Delta will have improving conditions for fieldwork during the next five to seven days as drier, warmer weather dominates the region.

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PRAIRIES STAY COLD

In the Canadian Prairies, moderate to locally heavy precipitation over southern Alberta and southwest Saskatchewan early this week included an unusual early season snowstorm. This is likely to halt harvesting of wheat and canola in the area for a while. Areas farther north in the Prairies have been and will continue to be drier and also cold. This is a more favorable pattern for harvests in these locations.

MORE CENTRAL BRAZIL SHOWERS

Central Brazil has episodes of scattered thundershowers and warm temperatures will favor planting and early development of soybeans in Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul and Parana. Planting of full season corn may have slowed due to recent rains in southern Brazil, but a drier period has begun which should improve conditions for planting.

AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

Episodes of showers has recently improved conditions for reproductive to filling wheat in West Australia. Rain has moved into New South Wales this week. This favors reproductive to filling wheat in the south part of the state, but it is likely too late to help the drought-reduced crop in the north or wheat in south Queensland. Rainfall in northern NSW and south Queensland may help improve conditions for planting sorghum and cotton, but more will still be needed.

EUROPEAN STORM

An unusually strong Mediterranean sea storm spread heavy rain and strong winds through Greece and western Turkey during the weekend. Severe flooding is likely to have occurred. Impact to cotton and citrus is expected.

TYPOHOON IMPACT ON SOUTH KOREA AND JAPAN

Typhoon Kong-Rey is expected to bring heavy rain and wind to South Korea and then to northern Japan during the weekend. It will become extratropical as it tracks across. Rain will delay the rice harvest. Flooding may lead to some losses.

HURRICANE LESLIE UPDATE

As of early the morning, Hurricane Leslie, with 80-mile-per-hour winds, was located near about 455 miles east of Bermuda. Leslie is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 kilometers/hour), and this motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through tonight. A reduction in speed is forecast on Friday and Friday night, with Leslie then accelerating toward the east or east-southeast over the weekend.

POSSIBLE STORM LATE NEXT WEEK

The European jet stream model today picks up on a low coming out of the Caribbean and tracking north and then northeast over the Gulf of Mexico during the six- to 10-day period. If verified, this would imply a tropical storm or hurricane moving into the north-central or northeast Gulf of Mexico and into the southeast U.S. during the period. This is new from yesterday and is therefore uncertain at this time.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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Elaine Shein

Elaine Shein
Connect with Elaine: