DTN Market Impact Weather

Wet Conditions for Midwest

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Mixed conditions for the Midwest for the next 10 days that will slow the harvest, and some rain chances for central Brazil, are key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.


The DTN ag weather forecast calls for wet conditions to possibly hamper the harvest in western and northern areas of the Midwest this weekend. The rains may become heavier over the western and north-central Midwest during next week, further delaying the harvest.


In the Central and Southern Plains, there are mostly favorable conditions for planting winter wheat and for development at this time, following recent beneficial rains.


Northern Plains will see improving conditions for harvesting because of less rain and colder weather. A freeze and a hard freeze is possible between readings this morning and readings Saturday morning.


Improving conditions for fieldwork are expected for the Delta region during the next five to seven days as drier, warmer weather dominates the region.


In the Canadian Prairies, colder weather with a freeze and frost in the region will help to firm the ground and improve conditions for the harvest, following recent wet and, in some cases, snowy weather. There is a slight chance for some precipitation in eastern areas early next week before more cold, dry weather redevelops.


In central Brazil, isolated afternoon thundershowers are possible in the region at times during the next five to seven days. Temperatures average mostly above normal during this period with highs averaging 95 to 100 Fahrenheit, sometimes a little cooler and sometimes a little hotter. More rainfall and cooler weather will be needed to support recently planted soybeans in the area.


No significant change is expected for the drought conditions in the eastern part of Australia this week. Wheat has already been affected. Cotton and sorghum will be affected due to low or very low irrigation supplies in the area. Episodes of light rain or showers in southeast and Western Australia will favor development of wheat and help wheat recover from recent frosts.


In Japan, Typhoon Trami, with 90-to-105-knot winds, will be near Okinawa today or early Saturday and over southwest to northeast Japan Sunday and Monday. The main islands of Japan will likely see heavy rains and damaging winds during this period, especially Kyushu, Shikoku and southwest Honshu.


At 5 a.m. AST, the center of Tropical Storm Kirk was located 110 miles west-southwest of St. Lucia and in the southeast Caribbean. Kirk is moving toward the west near 12 miles per hour (19 kilometers/hour), and this motion is expected to continue during the next day or two. On the forecast track, Kirk's center, or its remnants, will move across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea over the next two or three days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Kirk is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression later today or Saturday, and then degenerate into a trough of low pressure.

At 2 a.m. PDT, the eye of Hurricane Rosa was located 640 miles southwest of Baja. Rosa is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A gradual turn toward the west-northwest and northwest is expected on Friday, followed by a turn toward the north Saturday night and a turn toward the north-northeast on Sunday. Longer-range forecasts show a track across northern Baja and into Arizona Monday night and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher gusts. Rosa is a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little significant change in strength is forecast today, with gradual weakening anticipated by Saturday, and further weakening at a faster rate expected early next week.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com


Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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